Friendly International

Hungary - Finland

06/05/2026, 05:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Hungary
1.5
Total xG
2.2
Finland
0.8
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

1:1

14%

0:0

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
HUNFIN

Hungary

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.27倍)
-1.43
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.98
排名优势 (第41位 vs 第71位, 相差30位)
+0.10
全员可用

Finland

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.43
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.29
排名劣势 (第71位 vs 第41位, 相差30位)
-0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.04
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.36
+0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

30%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

70%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Hungary with a probability of 52%
  • Hungary's home defensive strength: At home, Hungary conceded an average of 0.0 goals this season and recorded 2 clean sheets
  • Finland's tactical offense: Finland averaged 4.0 shots on target in their last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Hungary's home goal scoring weakness: The team scored an average of only 0.5 goals in home games this season
  • Limited data: No historical head-to-head matches are available in the dataset
  • Limited data: XG values for Finland's recent matches are partially unavailable
概述

Hungary host Finland at Puskás Aréna for a Friendly International match on June 5, 2026, 7:45 PM

近期状态

Hungary's last four matches show a form of "LWWD"

Their last game was a 0-0 draw against Greece

Hungary's form summary shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Finland's last five matches show a form of "LWWDL"

The Finns lost their last game 0-4 against Germany

Finland's form summary shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Hungary has scored an average of 0.5 goals per game this season and conceded zero goals per game

Finland has scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded 1.67 goals per game

Hungary kept 2 clean sheets, while Finland recorded 1 clean sheet

The venue, Puskás Aréna, has seen an average of 1.25 total goals across 4 games

Both teams scored in 25% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 0% of matches at this venue

关键球员

For Hungary, Barnabás Varga is a key attacker with 2 goals in 176 minutes and an average rating of 7.99 in the last 5 games

Midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai showed strong performance with 1 goal and 3 assists in 482 minutes, achieving a rating of 7.41 in the last 5 games

Defender Willi Orbán contributed 1 goal in the last 5 games and earned a rating of 7.29

For Finland, Leo Walta stands out in midfield, delivering 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 4 games with a rating of 7.21

Attacker Joel Pohjanpalo scored 1 goal in the last 3 games and achieved a rating of 6.77

Naatan Skyttä, also in midfield, scored once in the last 3 games and had a rating of 6.65

门将

Hungary's goalkeeper Péter Szappanos contributed to 2 clean sheets this season

Lukas Hradecky, Finland's goalkeeper, recorded 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

Puskás Aréna has an average of 1.25 goals per game

At this venue, both teams scored in 25% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 0% of matches

Hungary scored an average of 0.5 goals in home games and conceded 0 goals

Finland scored an average of 1.0 goals in away games and conceded 1.67 goals

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