Bundesliga
FC Bayern München - FC Köln
05/16/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
2.5
3.6
1.1
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
7%2:2
5%4:1
5%xG 分解
FC Bayern München
FC Köln
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
66%
平局
19%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
70%
Under 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
49%
Under 3.5
51%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
34%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for FC Bayern München with 66% probability
- FC Bayern München's strong home record (3.5 home goals per game) meets FC Köln's vulnerable away defense (2.33 goals conceded per away game)
- FC Bayern München has been possession-dominant in their last 5 matches with an average of 67% possession and 7.0 shots on target
- FC Köln shows a positive offensive form development in the second half of the season with 1.6 goals per game, compared to the season average of 1.5 goals
风险因素
- FC Köln concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
- FC Bayern München's goal production recently showed a negative trend, with 2.6 goals below the season average of 3.4 goals
概述
FC Bayern München (1st place, 86 points) host FC Köln (14th place, 32 points) at the Allianz Arena
Bundesliga match on May 16, 2026, 3:30 PM
The league leaders face a team near the relegation zone
近期状态
FC Bayern München's current form across all competitions is WLDDW
The team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Bayern's goal production recently stalled with an average of 2.6 goals per game, while the season average is 3.4 goals
FC Köln's form across all competitions is WDLDL
They achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Köln is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.5 goals)
统计数据
FC Bayern München scored an average of 3.55 goals per game this season
Their defense conceded an average of 1.06 goals and kept 12 clean sheets
In home games, Bayern averages 3.5 goals scored and concedes 1.0 goals
FC Köln scored an average of 1.45 goals per game this season
They conceded an average of 1.76 goals per game and kept 3 clean sheets
In away games, Köln averages 1.5 goals scored and concedes 2.33 goals
The Allianz Arena averages 5.0 total goals per game
In 4 of the last 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were registered
历史交锋
In the last 4 direct encounters, FC Bayern München dominated
Bayern managed to win all 4 matches
The goal difference in these fixtures is 10:2 in favor of FC Bayern München
The last meeting on January 14, 2026, ended in a 3:1 victory for Bayern
关键球员
FC Bayern München's offense is led by Harry Kane, who scored 33 goals and provided 5 assists this season
Luis Díaz contributed with 15 goals and 13 assists
Leon Goretzka showed stable form recently with 2 goals and 0 assists in 4 games
For FC Köln, Said El Mala is a key factor with 12 goals and 5 assists this season
Marius Bülter scored 2 goals in his last 5 appearances
Eric Martel contributed 1 goal in his last 5 games and shows stable form
门将
Manuel Neuer is the goalkeeper for FC Bayern München and recorded 12 clean sheets this season
Marvin Schwäbe is in goal for FC Köln and managed to keep 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
FC Bayern München's home advantage is clear with an average of 3.5 home goals scored and only 1.0 goal conceded per game
The Allianz Arena is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 5.0 goals per game
Furthermore, 4 out of 5 matches at the stadium ended with both teams scoring