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Bundesliga

Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund

05/16/2026, 01:30 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Werder Bremen
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Borussia Dortmund
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
WBBD

Werder Bremen

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.39
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第2位, 相差13位)
-0.19
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01
Yukinari Sugawara未进大名单 (0球, 6助攻)
Jovan Milosevic替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.2球)

Borussia Dortmund

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.57
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第15位, 相差13位)
+0.07
Julian Brandt替补席 (7球, 4助攻)
Marcel Sabitzer替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

31%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a slightly higher home win probability (37%) for Werder Bremen
  • Borussia Dortmund's goal production is declining according to analysis (currently 1.6 goals per game), compared to their season average of 2.1 goals
  • Werder Bremen has a vulnerable home defense, conceding an average of 1.71 goals per home game
概述

Werder Bremen (15th place, 32 points) host Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 70 points) at the Wohninvest Weserstadion

Bundesliga match on May 16, 2026, 3:30 PM

The hosts are fighting against relegation, while Dortmund aims to secure Champions League qualification

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Werder Bremen's form across all competitions: LWDLL

The home team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last two matches ended in a loss

Borussia Dortmund's form across all competitions: LLWLW

The visitors achieved 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Dortmund's last match ended in a win

统计数据

Werder Bremen scored an average of 1.12 goals per game this season and conceded 1.76 goals per game

At home, they average 1.12 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded per home game

They kept 6 clean sheets

Borussia Dortmund is stronger offensively with an average of 2.06 goals per game and a solid defense with 1.03 goals conceded per game

Away from home, they scored 2.00 goals and conceded 1.29 goals per away game

Borussia Dortmund kept 14 clean sheets

At the Wohninvest Weserstadion, an average of 3.0 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches

In 3 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund dominated with 3 wins compared to 0 for Werder Bremen

Two matches ended in a draw

The goal difference is 3:8 in favor of Borussia Dortmund

The last encounter was won by Borussia Dortmund away with a score of 3:0 on January 13, 2026

Borussia Dortmund has been more dominant in recent encounters

关键球员

For Werder Bremen, Romano Schmid shows a rising form trend with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches

Jens Stage scored 10 goals and 2 assists this season with stable form

Cameron Puertas also contributed to a rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 matches

For Borussia Dortmund, Serhou Guirassy is the top scorer this season with 16 goals and 2 assists

Julian Ryerson impressed with 15 assists this season

Maximilian Beier showed a rising form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 matches

门将

Werder Bremen's goalkeeper, Mio Backhaus, had 6 clean sheets this season

Gregor Kobel, Borussia Dortmund's goalkeeper, recorded 14 clean sheets this season

The visitors have a significantly stronger record in games without conceding a goal

影响因素

The Wohninvest Weserstadion saw an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

60% of matches ended with both teams scoring

Werder Bremen scored an average of 1.12 goals and conceded 1.71 goals at home

Borussia Dortmund scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.29 goals away

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