Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Hamburger SV
05/16/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
2.6
3.6
1.0
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
8%4:1
5%4:0
5%xG 分解
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
70%
平局
18%
客胜
12%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
70%
Under 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
49%
Under 3.5
51%
双重机会
主胜或平局
88%
客胜或平局
30%
非平局
82%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- High Home Win Probability: Mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 70% probability and 2.59 expected home goals
- Offensive-Defensive Matchup: Leverkusen's strong home offense (avg. 2.06 goals) meets Hamburg's vulnerable away defense (avg. 2.58 goals conceded)
- Current Form and Tactics: Leverkusen recently averaged 6.0 shots on target, and Hamburg lost their last three away games
风险因素
- Defensive Vulnerability: Hamburger SV conceded an average of 2.58 goals per away game
- Limited Data Availability: Some statistics, such as duel values, are only partially available
概述
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6th place, 58 points) host Hamburger SV (11th place, 37 points) at the BayArena. The Bundesliga match takes place on May 16, 2026, 3:30 PM. Leverkusen are fighting for an international spot, while HSV are in mid-table.
近期状态
Bayer 04 Leverkusen shows solid form with W-L-W-W-L in their last five matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). The home team recently achieved a 4-1 victory against RB Leipzig. Hamburger SV displays a form of L-L-L-W-W in their last five games (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). HSV managed to win their last two matches, but previously suffered three consecutive away defeats. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Bayer 04 Leverkusen scored an average of 2.03 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 1.39 goals. At home, they average 2.06 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded. Hamburger SV scored an average of 1.18 goals per game and conceded 1.61 goals. Away, their defense is more vulnerable with an average of 2.58 goals conceded per match, while their offense scores an average of 1.17 goals. In 21 games for both teams, both teams scored, and in 20 games, over 2.5 goals were scored. At the BayArena, an average of 4.2 goals are scored per game, and both teams scored in all 5 recent matches played there.
历史交锋
In the 3 direct encounters so far, there have been 2 home wins and 1 away win, with no draws. Bayer 04 Leverkusen scored a total of 3 goals and Hamburger SV scored 4 goals. The last match on March 04, 2026, ended with a 0-1 away win for Bayer 04 Leverkusen against Hamburger SV.
关键球员
For Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Patrik Schick (16 goals, 3 assists, form rising), Alejandro Grimaldo (8 goals, 8 assists, stable form) and Aleix García (3 goals, 7 assists, form rising) are crucial. For Hamburger SV, Fábio Vieira (6 goals, 5 assists, form rising), Luka Vuskovic (6 goals, 0 assists, stable form) and Albert Grønbæk (1 goal, 2 assists, stable form) are the most important players.
门将
Mark Flekken is the goalkeeper for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and has made 23 appearances this season. The team has recorded 8 clean sheets. For Hamburger SV, Sander Tangvik is in goal, who has not made any appearances this season. The team has kept 6 clean sheets overall.
影响因素
Bayer 04 Leverkusen enjoys a clear home advantage at the BayArena, where they average 2.06 goals scored and concede only 1.0 goal. The venue is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 4.2 goals per game. In all five of the most recent home games, both teams scored.