Bundesliga
Heidenheim - FSV Mainz 05
05/16/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.7
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:0
6%xG 分解
Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
29%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Heidenheim's improved form: Heidenheim is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 2.4 goals) and conceding fewer goals (Avg. 1.4) than their season average
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis gives FSV Mainz 05 a slight advantage with a 38% win probability
- High-scoring matches: The Voith-Arena is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 4.8 goals per match and 80% BTTS/Over 2.5 in the last five games
风险因素
- Heidenheim's seasonal defensive weakness: Heidenheim conceded an average of 2.12 goals per game over the season
- Mainz 05's poor away form: In their last five away matches, Mainz 05 only managed one win and one draw, with three losses
概述
Heidenheim (17th place, 26 points) host FSV Mainz 05 (10th place, 37 points) at the Voith-Arena
Bundesliga match on May 16, 2026, 3:30 PM
Heidenheim is fighting relegation and aims to close the gap to safety
Mainz 05 holds a more comfortable mid-table position
近期状态
Heidenheim's form across all competitions: WLWDW
FSV Mainz 05's form across all competitions: LDLWL
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Heidenheim shows strong recent form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last five matches
The team won their last game
FSV Mainz 05 recorded only 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches
Their last result was a loss
统计数据
Heidenheim scores an average of 1.24 goals per game this season and concedes 2.12 goals
At home, Heidenheim averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.84 goals conceded
FSV Mainz 05 scores an average of 1.27 goals per game this season and concedes 1.61 goals
Away from home, FSV Mainz 05 averages 1.24 goals scored and 1.65 goals conceded
In Heidenheim's matches, both teams scored in 21 of 33 games
In FSV Mainz 05's matches, both teams scored in 21 of 33 games
Heidenheim is currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.2)
FSV Mainz 05 maintains a consistent scoring rate (around 1.4 goals per game)
历史交锋
There have been 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams
Both teams have won 2 games each, with 1 match ending in a draw
The goal difference is even with 5 goals for Heidenheim and 5 goals for FSV Mainz 05
The last encounter on January 13, 2026, was won by FSV Mainz 05 with a score of 2:1
关键球员
For Heidenheim, Budu Zivzivadze, Arijon Ibrahimovic, and Jan Schöppner are key players
Budu Zivzivadze scored 6 goals in the season and contributed 5 goals in the last 5 games, with his rating rising to 7.44
Arijon Ibrahimovic scored 2 season goals and 5 assists, with 1 goal and 3 assists in the last 5 games and a rating of 7.46
Jan Schöppner scored 3 season goals and 3 assists, with 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games and a rating of 7.07
For FSV Mainz 05, Nadiem Amiri, Sheraldo Becker, and Paul Nebel are noteworthy
Nadiem Amiri scored 11 season goals and 2 assists, with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Sheraldo Becker scored 3 season goals and 3 assists, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Paul Nebel scored 5 season goals and 2 assists, with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
门将
Heidenheim's goalkeeper Frank Feller has made 2 appearances this season
Heidenheim's team has achieved 1 clean sheet in 33 games
FSV Mainz 05's goalkeeper Daniel Batz has made 20 appearances this season
FSV Mainz 05's team has achieved 3 clean sheets in 33 games
影响因素
The Voith-Arena in Heidenheim is a venue known for high-scoring matches
In the last 5 games, an average of 4.8 goals were scored per match
Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were seen in 4 out of 5 matches
Heidenheim scores an average of 1.21 goals at home and concedes 1.84 goals
FSV Mainz 05 scores 1.24 goals away and concedes 1.65 goals