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Pro League

Al Nassr - Al Najma

04/03/2026, 06:00 PM

5 : 2
预期进球
Al Nassr
2.6
Total xG
3.1
Al Najma
0.5
最可能的比分

2:0

15%

3:0

13%

4:0

8%

2:1

8%

1:1

7%
xG 分解
ANAN

Al Nassr

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
+1.23
防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.85
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.6球)
+0.26
状态上升 (3.6 vs 2.7 赛季平均)
+0.26
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第18位, 相差17位)
+0.18
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
João Félix未进大名单 (15球, 11助攻)
Kingsley Coman未进大名单 (7球, 10助攻)
Nawaf Boushal替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Iñigo Martínez未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用)

Al Najma

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.37倍)
-1.25
防守不足 (场均失2.5球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+1.09
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第1位, 相差17位)
-0.09
Lázaro未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
Bilal Boutobba未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
36%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.53
+0.53
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

81%

平局

15%

客胜

5%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

95%

客胜或平局

19%

非平局

85%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Clear favorite role for Al Nassr with a home win probability of 81%
  • Al Nassr has won five consecutive games, while Al Najma has suffered five consecutive losses
  • Statistical dominance of Al Nassr, scoring an average of 2.75 goals at home, while Al Najma concedes 3.33 goals away
风险因素
  • Al Nassr has only 67% of its usual starting XI strength, with João Félix (15G/11A), Kingsley Coman (7G/10A), Nawaf Boushal (0G/4A), and Iñigo Martínez (3G/0A) not selected
  • Al Najma averaged 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Al Nassr (1st place, 67 points) host Al Najma (18th place, 8 points) in the Pro League on April 3, 2026, 9:00 PM

Al Nassr aims to maintain its lead at the top of the table, while Al Najma battles against relegation

近期状态

Al Nassr is in excellent form with five consecutive wins (WWWWW)

Al Nassr's last five matches resulted in victories, including a 5-0 against Al Khaleej and a 5-0 against Al Najma

Al Najma, on the other hand, is in a deep crisis, losing all of their last five matches (LLLLL)

Al Najma's recent defeats include a 1-3 against Damac FC and a 0-5 against Al Nassr

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Al Nassr shows strong offensive capabilities with an average of 2.73 goals per game this season

Al Nassr's home strength is remarkable with 2.75 home goals per game and only 0.67 goals conceded

Al Najma, in contrast, has a season average of 0.88 goals and concedes an average of 2.35 goals

Al Najma's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding 3.33 goals per game

Al Nassr achieved 14 clean sheets this season, while Al Najma only managed 2

历史交锋

There has been one head-to-head encounter between the two teams so far

Al Nassr won this match with a score of 5-0

The last match took place on February 25, 2026, with Al Nassr winning 5-0 as the home team

关键球员

For Al Nassr, Cristiano Ronaldo is important with 21 season goals and 2 assists, holding an average rating of 7.56

Sadio Mané contributed 7 goals and 5 assists with an average rating of 7.44

Ângelo shows a rising form trend with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

For Al Najma, Wanderson Felippe Cardoso dos Santos is a key player with 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games

Rakan Al-Tulayhi recorded 3 goals and 3 assists this season, but his form is declining

David Tijanic has scored 2 goals and 2 assists this season, also showing a declining form

门将

Al Nassr has Bento as their starting goalkeeper

Al Najma relies on Victor Braga in goal

Al Nassr's team has achieved 14 clean sheets this season

Al Najma's team managed 2 clean sheets

影响因素

Al Nassr is offensively strong at home with an average of 2.75 home goals per game and a stable defense conceding 0.67 home goals

Al Najma's away defense is weak, conceding an average of 3.33 goals per game

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