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Pro League

Al Riyadh - Al Shabab

04/05/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Al Riyadh
1.1
Total xG
2.4
Al Shabab
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

0:1

10%

1:2

8%

1:0

8%
xG 分解
ARAS

Al Riyadh

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.69
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.07
状态上升 (1.2 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.07
11%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1球)

Al Shabab

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.29
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.29
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.26
12%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.54
+0.54
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

31%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Al Shabab is a slight favorite with a 39% win probability according to mathematical analysis and historically dominated Al Riyadh with 4 wins and 1 draw in 5 head-to-head matches
  • Al Shabab demonstrates stronger recent form (WWLDW) and a positive trend in goal production, averaging 2.4 goals in recent games compared to their season average of 1.4 goals
  • Al Shabab averaged 6.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating a strong offensive orientation
风险因素
  • Absences for Al Shabab: M. Essa Harbush (Cruciate Ligament Tear), C. Carvalho da Silva Junior (Injury To Abdominal Muscles)
概述

Al Riyadh (16th place, 19 points) host Al Shabab (12th place, 29 points) in the Pro League. The match takes place on April 5, 2026, 9:00 PM. Al Riyadh is fighting relegation, while Al Shabab is in the mid-table.

近期状态

Al Riyadh's form in the last 5 games is WLLLW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). Al Shabab is in better shape with WWLDW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). According to advanced statistics, both teams show a positive recent form trend.

统计数据

Al Riyadh scores an average of 0.93 goals per home game and concedes 1.20 goals. Al Shabab scores an average of 1.33 goals per away game and concedes 1.67 goals. Both teams scored in 17 of Al Riyadh's games and 14 of Al Shabab's games. There were 13 of Al Riyadh's games and 10 of Al Shabab's games with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, there were 0 wins for Al Riyadh, 4 wins for Al Shabab, and 1 draws. The goal difference is 5:11 in favor of Al Shabab. The last encounter on February 23, 2026, 10:00 PM ended 1:3 for away.

关键球员

Al Riyadh: Leandro Antunes (Attacker) recorded 4 season goals and 0 assists with a rating of 7.33; Tozé (Midfielder) recorded 6 season goals and 4 assists with a rating of 7.15; Teddy Okou (Attacker) recorded 1 season goal and 5 assists with a rating of 6.86. Al Shabab: Yannick Carrasco (Attacker) recorded 15 season goals and 6 assists with a rating of 7.71; Abderrazak Hamdallah (Attacker) recorded 4 season goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.87; Josh Brownhill (Midfielder) recorded 5 season goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.94.

门将

Goalkeeper Milan Borjan of Al Riyadh recorded 2 clean sheets in 26 appearances. For Al Shabab, goalkeeper Marcelo Grohe kept 7 clean sheets in 25 appearances.

影响因素

Al Riyadh scores an average of 0.93 goals at home and concedes 1.20 goals. Al Shabab scores an average of 1.33 goals away and concedes 1.67 goals. No data on specific venue or weather conditions is available.

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