Pro League
Al Ahli - Damac FC
04/04/2026, 04:15 PM
预期进球
2.4
3.0
0.6
2:0
14%3:0
11%2:1
9%1:1
9%3:1
7%xG 分解
Al Ahli
Damac FC
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
75%
平局
18%
客胜
7%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
93%
客胜或平局
25%
非平局
82%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high home win probability of 75% for Al Ahli
- Al Ahli's strong home record with an average of 2.0 goals scored meets Damac FC's away defensive vulnerability of 1.92 goals conceded
- Al Ahli dominated Damac FC in head-to-head matches with 4 wins out of 5 games and shows convincing overall form
风险因素
- Damac FC concedes an average of 1.92 goals per away game, indicating a defensive weakness
- Al Ahli will be without four key players: Valentin Atangana, Ali Majrashi, Franck Kessié, and Zakaria Hawsawi
- Al Ahli lost their last game against Al-Qadsiah (2:3), which interrupted their previous winning streak
概述
Al Ahli (3rd place, 62 points) host Damac FC (15th place, 22 points) in the Pro League on April 4, 2026, 6:15 PM
Al Ahli aims to solidify their high league position and close the gap to the top
Damac FC needs to collect important points in the relegation battle
近期状态
Al Ahli shows strong form with "WWWWL" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) from their last five matches
They recorded 4 wins and 1 loss
Damac FC's form is inconsistent with "LLDWW" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) from their last five matches
They achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games
统计数据
Al Ahli is offensively strong with an average of 1.96 goals per game and concedes only 0.73 goals on average
At home, they score an average of 2.0 goals and concede 0.75 goals
Damac FC's offense scores only 0.92 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.62 goals
Away from home, Damac FC concedes significantly more, with an average of 1.92 goals per game
Al Ahli kept 14 clean sheets this season, Damac FC only 4
Both teams scored in 12 of Al Ahli's games, and in 17 of Damac FC's matches
历史交锋
In the five direct encounters in the past, Al Ahli dominated with 4 wins, while Damac FC recorded no wins
One match ended in a draw
Al Ahli scored 13 goals compared to 5 conceded goals
The last encounter on February 23, 2026, saw Al Ahli win 1:0 away
关键球员
For Al Ahli, Ivan Toney (25 season goals, 5 assists), Riyad Mahrez (4 season goals, 7 assists), and Galeno (1 season goal, 6 assists) are decisive offensive players
Toney has shown stable form recently with 6 goals in 5 games
Mahrez's form trend is slightly declining, while Galeno is performing stably and contributed 3 assists in his last 5 games
For Damac FC, Valentín Vada (9 season goals, 3 assists), Yakou Méïté (4 season goals, 0 assists), and Abdulrahman Al-Obaid (0 season goals, 4 assists) stand out
Vada is in rising form with 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 games, as is Méïté with 3 goals
Al-Obaid also showed a rising form with 2 assists in 4 games
门将
For Al Ahli, Edouard Mendy (19 appearances, Avg. 6.84 rating) is in goal, whose team has recorded 14 clean sheets this season
For Damac FC, Kewin (26 appearances, Avg. 6.79 rating) is the goalkeeper, his team kept a clean sheet 4 times this season
影响因素
Al Ahli has a clear home advantage, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.75 goals conceded in home games
Damac FC is defensively more vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 1.92 goals per away game