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Pro League

Al Hazm - Al Riyadh

04/24/2026, 04:10 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Al Hazm
1.5
Total xG
2.6
Al Riyadh
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
AHAR

Al Hazm

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.24
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.12
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.12
排名优势 (第10位 vs 第16位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Yousef Al-Shammari替补席 (4球, 0助攻)

Al Riyadh

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.11
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第10位, 相差6位)
-0.07

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.54
+0.54
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

29%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

71%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis: Al Hazm has the highest win probability at 47% and is predicted to score 1.54 expected goals
  • Al Hazm's offensive strength: The home team is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.2 goals), indicating a positive trend
  • Al Riyadh's defensive weakness: The away team concedes an average of 2.36 goals per away game, pointing to significant vulnerability
风险因素
  • Al Riyadh's rising form: The away team is currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals) than their season average (1.0 goals)
  • Mutual defensive vulnerabilities: The model predicts a 53% probability for both teams to score
概述

Al Hazm (10th place, 34 points) host Al Riyadh (16th place, 23 points) in the Pro League on April 24, 2026, 7:10 PM. Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle.

近期状态

Al Hazm's recent form is WLWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games. Their last match ended in a win. Al Riyadh's form is LLWDW with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 encounters. Al Riyadh also won their last match.

统计数据

Al Hazm scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 1.71 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.12 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded. Al Riyadh scores 1.04 goals per game across the league and concedes 1.86 goals. Al Riyadh's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.36 goals. Al Hazm recorded 3 clean sheets, Al Riyadh 2. For Al Hazm, over 2.5 goals were scored in 17 matches, for Al Riyadh in 14 matches.

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Al Hazm secured 1 win, while Al Riyadh remained winless. 2 encounters ended in a draw. The goal difference is 3:2 in favor of Al Hazm. The last meeting on December 29, 2025, ended with a 2:1 victory for Al Hazm.

关键球员

For Al Hazm, Fábio Martins (5 goals, 3 assists) with rising form and Omar Al-Somah (6 goals, 0 assists) as the top scorer are crucial. Nawaf Al-Habashi (4 goals, 2 assists) also shows rising form. Not nominated for Al Hazm is Yousef Al-Shammari (4G/0A). For Al Riyadh, Tozé is the most effective player with 7 goals and 4 assists. Leandro Antunes has scored 6 goals, with 3 goals in his last 5 games. Teddy Okou shines with 1 goal and 6 assists, and his form is stable.

门将

Ibrahim Zaied of Al Hazm has played 8 games this season. Al Hazm has recorded 3 clean sheets. Milan Borjan of Al Riyadh has played in 28 matches. Al Riyadh achieved 2 clean sheets.

影响因素

Al Hazm scores an average of 1.12 goals at home and concedes 1.62 goals. Al Riyadh concedes an average of 2.36 goals per away game.

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