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Pro League

Al Ettifaq - Al Riyadh

04/09/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Al Ettifaq
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Al Riyadh
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

2:1

9%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
AEAR

Al Ettifaq

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.44
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第16位, 相差9位)
+0.06

Al Riyadh

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.22
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第7位, 相差9位)
-0.11
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.01
10%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.55
+0.55
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

30%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Al Ettifaq with a 40% probability and a home win or draw with 70%
  • Al Ettifaq (7th place) has a significantly better league position and season goal difference compared to Al Riyadh (16th place)
  • Al Riyadh concedes an average of 2.82 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Al Ettifaq's recent goal-scoring form (averaging 1.0 goals) is below their season average (1.44 goals)
  • Al Ettifaq registered an average of only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • Al Riyadh's average expected goals in recent matches (1.75) are higher than their season average (1.15)
概述

Al Ettifaq (7th place, 42 points) host Al Riyadh (16th place, 20 points)

Pro League match on April 9, 2026, 8:00 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 40% probability

近期状态

Home team Al Ettifaq shows a form of LLDLW in their last five matches

This consists of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Their last result was a 3-2 victory against Al-Qadsiah

Al Riyadh's form in the last five games is LLLWD

This includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

They drew 1-1 against Al Shabab in their last match

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Al Ettifaq averages 1.44 goals scored per game and concedes 1.70 goals

At home, Al Ettifaq scores an average of 1.44 goals and concedes 1.25 goals

They kept 7 clean sheets this season

Al Riyadh's season average is 0.96 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Al Riyadh scores an average of 1.00 goal and concedes 2.82 goals

They recorded 2 clean sheets

The mathematical analysis predicts 1.35 goals for Al Ettifaq and 1.15 goals for Al Riyadh

A "Both Teams To Score" scenario is calculated with a 52% probability

A match with over 2.5 goals has a 45% probability

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ettifaq secured 3 wins and Al Riyadh achieved 1 win

There was also 1 draw between the two teams

Al Ettifaq scored a total of 4 goals, while Al Riyadh scored 1 goal

The last encounter was won by Al Ettifaq with a 2-0 score on December 25, 2025

Statistics indicate Al Ettifaq has been the dominant team in recent meetings

关键球员

For Al Ettifaq, Georginio Wijnaldum (Midfielder) is a key player with 13 season goals and 5 assists

In his last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist with an average rating of 6.62

Khalid Al-Ghannam (Attacker) contributed 9 goals and 4 assists this season

Álvaro Medrán (Midfielder) impressed with 0 season goals and 5 assists, including 2 assists in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.20

For Al Riyadh, Tozé (Midfielder) is crucial with 7 goals and 4 assists this season

He scored 2 goals in his last 5 games and holds an average rating of 7.30

Leandro Antunes (Attacker) contributed 4 season goals, with 2 goals in his last 5 matches

Teddy Okou (Attacker) provided 1 goal and 5 assists this season

门将

Marek Rodák for Al Ettifaq has featured in 27 games and achieved 7 clean sheets

Milan Borjan for Al Riyadh played in 27 games and managed 2 clean sheets

影响因素

Al Ettifaq shows a solid performance at home with an average of 1.44 home goals scored and 1.25 home goals conceded

Al Riyadh scores an average of 1.00 goal away and concedes 2.82 goals, indicating vulnerability when traveling

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