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Pro League

Al Okhdoud - Al Nassr

04/11/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Al Okhdoud
0.6
Total xG
3.3
Al Nassr
2.7
最可能的比分

0:2

14%

0:3

12%

0:4

8%

1:2

8%

1:3

7%
xG 分解
AOAN

Al Okhdoud

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.46倍)
-1.34
防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.57
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第1位, 相差16位)
-0.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.04
Saleh Al-Abbas替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Al Nassr

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.66倍)
+1.56
防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.66
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.8球)
+0.30
状态上升 (3.8 vs 2.8 赛季平均)
+0.30
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第17位, 相差16位)
+0.19
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Abdullah Al-Hamdan替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Iñigo Martínez未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均2.2球 vs 总体2.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

5%

平局

14%

客胜

81%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

19%

客胜或平局

95%

非平局

86%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 81% probability and 2.70 expected goals for Al Nassr
  • Al Nassr is in excellent form with five consecutive wins, while Al Akhdoud has only two wins in their last five games
  • Al Nassr dominated all 5 head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 21:3 and shows offensive strength with an average of 9.8 shots on target according to tactical metrics
概述

Al Akhdoud (17th place, 16 points) host Al Nassr (1st place, 70 points) in the Pro League

The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 8:00 PM

Al Nassr is fighting for the top spot, while Al Akhdoud battles relegation

近期状态

Al Akhdoud's form across all competitions: LWLLW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses) with a win in their last match

Al Nassr shows perfect form: WWWWW (5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses) and is unbeaten in their last five games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Al Akhdoud scores an average of 0.85 goals per game and concedes 2.11 goals

They kept 3 clean sheets this season

In 14 matches, both teams scored, and 15 games had over 2.5 goals

At home, Al Akhdoud averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.78 goals conceded

Al Nassr is offensively strong with an average of 2.81 goals per game and a solid defense with 0.78 goals conceded

They achieved 14 clean sheets

Away from home, Al Nassr averages 2.92 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded

历史交锋

In 5 direct encounters so far, there has been no draw

Al Nassr won all 5 matches against Al Akhdoud

The goal difference of 21:3 highlights Al Nassr's dominance in these games

The last meeting on December 27, 2025, ended with a 3:0 victory for Al Nassr

关键球员

For Al Akhdoud, Christian Bassogog (3 goals, 6 assists, rating 6.9), Abdulaziz Al-Hatila (3 goals, 1 assist, rating 6.74), and Khaled Narey (3 goals, 1 assist, rating 6.7) are key players

Christian Bassogog is stable with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Abdulaziz Al-Hatila shows rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist

For Al Nassr, João Félix (15 goals, 11 assists, rating 7.87), Cristiano Ronaldo (23 goals, 2 assists, rating 7.58), and Kingsley Coman (7 goals, 10 assists, rating 7.36) stand out

João Félix is in stable form with 3 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games

Cristiano Ronaldo scored 6 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances

门将

Samuel Portugal is Al Akhdoud's goalkeeper with a season average rating of 6.99

Al Akhdoud has finished 3 games with clean sheets this season

On the other side, Bento is Al Nassr's goalkeeper with an average rating of 6.92

Al Nassr recorded an impressive 14 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Al Akhdoud scores an average of 0.83 goals at home and concedes 1.78 goals

Al Nassr, on the other hand, excels away from home with an average of 2.92 goals scored and only 0.85 goals conceded

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