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Pro League

Al Najma - NEOM SC

04/11/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Al Najma
0.8
Total xG
2.5
NEOM SC
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

0:1

13%

0:2

12%

0:0

10%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
ANNS

Al Najma

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.52倍)
-1.05
防守不足 (场均失2.6球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+1.02
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第8位, 相差10位)
-0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.06
Lázaro替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
David Tijanic未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
51%进球产出缺失 (仅56%可用)

NEOM SC

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.08
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第18位, 相差10位)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.08
Alexandre Lacazette未进大名单 (11球, 4助攻)
Mohammed Al-Burayk替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

16%

平局

27%

客胜

57%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

43%

客胜或平局

84%

非平局

73%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Clear performance gap: NEOM SC is significantly ahead of Al Najma in the table
  • Current form: NEOM SC with two consecutive wins, Al Najma with five consecutive losses
  • Offensive efficiency: NEOM SC averaged 5.2 shots on target recently, Al Najma only 2.6
风险因素
  • Limited goal threat for Al Najma: Only 56% of usual starting XI goal threat available without Lázaro (6G/1A) and David Tijanic (2G/3A)
  • Short recovery time for NEOM SC: Only 3 days since their last match
  • Weak offense for Al Najma: Averaged only 2.6 shots on target in the last 5 games
概述

Al Najma (18th place, 8 points) host NEOM SC (8th place, 39 points) in the Pro League on April 11, 2026, 5:00 PM. The hosts are fighting for survival, while the visitors aim to solidify their position in the upper mid-table. The match promises a duel between a relegation candidate and a top-half team.

近期状态

Al Najma is in a difficult phase with a form of LLLLL, which means 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 2-5 away loss against Al Nassr. NEOM SC shows better form with LLDWW, reflecting 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They won their last two matches against Al Ittihad (4-3 away) and Al-Fayha (1-0 at home). (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Al Najma averaged 0.93 goals scored per game and conceded 2.44 goals per game this season. At home, they average 0.94 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded. Both teams scored in 18 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 matches. NEOM SC has a season average of 1.29 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded. Away from home, they scored 1.25 goals and conceded 1.12 goals per game. Both teams scored in 17 matches, and 15 matches ended with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

There has only been one direct encounter between these two teams so far. This took place on December 25, 2025, with NEOM SC winning 2-1 at home against Al Najma. NEOM SC (the away team in this match) scored 2 goals, while Al Najma (the home team) scored 1 goal. The last meeting ended in a victory for NEOM SC.

关键球员

For Al Najma, key players include Wanderson Felippe Cardoso dos Santos (Attacker, 3 goals, 3 assists this season, 2 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games with stable form), Samir Caetano (Defender, 2 goals, 1 assist this season with stable form), and Bilal Boutobba (Attacker, 2 goals, 1 assist this season with declining form). For NEOM SC, Saïd Benrahma (Attacker, 6 goals, 6 assists this season, 1 goal, 2 assists in last 5 games with stable form), Luciano Rodríguez (Attacker, 6 goals, 1 assist this season, 3 goals in last 5 games with rising form), and Abdoulaye Doucouré (Midfielder, 0 goals, 4 assists this season, 3 assists in last 5 games with rising form) stand out.

门将

Victor Braga, Al Najma's goalkeeper, has kept 2 clean sheets in 25 appearances this season. His average rating is 6.7, with a decline to 6.12 in the last 5 games. For NEOM SC, Luís Maximiano played in 27 games and kept 6 clean sheets. His season rating is 6.78, with a rise to 7.10 in the last 5 games.

影响因素

Al Najma concedes an average of 1.94 goals per home game. NEOM SC shows solid defense away from home, allowing an average of only 1.12 goals per away game. The home team has not managed a single clean sheet in any home game this season.

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