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Major League Soccer

Charlotte - Philadelphia Union

04/04/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Charlotte
2.0
Total xG
3.1
Philadelphia Union
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

3:1

7%

3:0

6%
xG 分解
CHAPU

Charlotte

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2球)
-0.15
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.13
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第15位, 相差10位)
+0.10
Liel Abada替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Philadelphia Union

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.37倍)
+0.26
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.13
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第5位, 相差10位)
-0.12
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

24%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

76%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Strong Home Form: Charlotte averages 2.25 goals per home game.
  • Philadelphia Union's Crisis: The team has lost all 5 season games and shows an LLLLL form.
  • Mathematical Analysis Forecast: The pipeline predicts a home win for Charlotte with a 57% probability.
风险因素
  • Philadelphia Union averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games.
  • Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game.
概述

Charlotte hosts Philadelphia Union in a Major League Soccer match on April 4, 2026, 7:30 PM. Charlotte is in 5th place with 8 points, while Philadelphia Union is in 15th place with 0 points, having lost all season games so far. The home team will aim to continue their good home record and close the gap to the top of the table.

近期状态

Charlotte's form is DLWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). In their last 5 games, the team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their most recent result was a win.

Philadelphia Union is in a difficult phase with LLLLL. The team achieved 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses in their last 5 games and recently suffered a loss, marking a streak of 5 consecutive losses.

统计数据

Charlotte has scored an average of 2.0 goals per game this season and conceded 1.2 goals. At home, Charlotte is particularly strong with an average of 2.25 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded per home game. The team kept 1 clean sheet and had over 2.5 goals in 3 matches.

Philadelphia Union has scored an average of 0.6 goals per game this season and conceded 1.8 goals. Away from home, they averaged 0.5 goals scored and conceded 2.0 goals per away game. They achieved no clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 3 matches.

历史交锋

In the 4 head-to-head matches played, Charlotte secured 2 wins, Philadelphia Union had 1 win, and there was 1 draw. Charlotte scored a total of 5 goals, with Philadelphia Union scoring 2 goals. The last encounter was a 2-0 victory for Charlotte on October 18, 2025. Charlotte has been the more dominant team in recent matchups.

关键球员

For Charlotte, Pep Biel (Midfielder) is a key offensive player with 4 season goals and 1 assist, holding an average rating of 7.62. Wilfried Zaha (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, with a rating of 7.23. Idan Toklomati (Attacker) scored 2 season goals with a rating of 6.82.

For Philadelphia Union, Frankie Westfield (Defender) stands out with 1 assist and an average rating of 7.27. In attack, Milan Iloski (Attacker) and Indiana Vassilev (Attacker) are relevant players with 1 season goal each, holding ratings of 6.76 and 6.62 respectively.

门将

Charlotte's goalkeeper, Kristijan Kahlina, has played in all 5 season games and recorded 1 clean sheet.

For Philadelphia Union, Andre Blake has featured in all 5 season games but has yet to achieve a clean sheet.

影响因素

Charlotte demonstrates strong home form, averaging 2.25 goals scored and conceding only 0.5 goals per home game. This could be a decisive home advantage.

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