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Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire - Nashville SC

04/05/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Chicago Fire
1.7
Total xG
3.2
Nashville SC
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
CFNS

Chicago Fire

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.98
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.10
Hugo Cuypers替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
44%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均2.8球 vs 总体1.8球)

Nashville SC

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.93倍)
+1.07
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.65
防守实力 (场均失0.5球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.59
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
-0.20
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Warren Madrigal替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Patrick Yazbek替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体3.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

26%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

74%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis suggests a home win probability of 41% for Chicago Fire, with 1.70 expected home goals
  • Nashville SC leads the league with 13 points and boasts a robust defense, conceding on average only 0.4 goals per game
  • Nashville SC has won all 4 direct encounters against Chicago Fire, with an impressive goal difference of 13-2
风险因素
  • Key player Hugo Cuypers is sidelined, impacting 15% of Chicago Fire's usual starting XI goal contribution
  • Nashville SC has played only one away game this season, limiting a comprehensive assessment of their away performance
  • Chicago Fire shows inconsistent form with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches
概述

Chicago Fire (6th place, 7 points) host Nashville SC (1st place, 13 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 5, 2026, 1:30 AM. Nashville SC are currently league leaders, while Chicago Fire are positioned in the mid-table.

近期状态

Chicago Fire shows mixed form with 'LWDLW' in their last five games, recording 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last result was a win. Nashville SC are in excellent form with 'WDWWW' from their last five matches, achieving 4 wins, 1 draw, and no losses, including three consecutive wins. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Chicago Fire has scored an average of 1.4 goals per game this season and conceded 1.0 goals. In home games, the average is 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded. Nashville SC is very strong offensively, averaging 2.6 goals per game, and possesses a very stable defense, conceding only 0.4 goals per game. In their only away game this season, Nashville SC scored 1.0 goals and conceded 0.0 goals. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 3 of Chicago Fire's games and 2 of Nashville SC's games. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 of Chicago Fire's games and 3 of Nashville SC's games.

历史交锋

In 4 previous head-to-head matches, Nashville SC has won all encounters, while Chicago Fire has secured no victories, and there have been no draws. Nashville SC scored a total of 13 goals and conceded 2. The last meeting on June 15, 2025, ended in a 0:2 victory for Nashville SC. Nashville SC has been the dominant team in recent matchups.

关键球员

For Chicago Fire, Jonathan Bamba stands out with 2 goals from 4 appearances (average rating 7.10 in last 5), Leonardo Barroso with 2 assists (average rating 6.84 in last 5), and Robin Lod with 1 goal and 1 assist (average rating 6.66 in last 5). Key players for Nashville SC include Sam Surridge with 7 goals from 4 appearances (average rating 7.91 in last 5), Cristian Espinoza with 2 goals and 2 assists (average rating 7.63 in last 5), and Hany Mukhtar with 2 goals (average rating 7.16 in last 5).

门将

Chicago Fire's goalkeeper, Chris Brady, has recorded 2 clean sheets this season. Nashville SC's goalkeeper, Brian Schwake, has kept 3 clean sheets.

影响因素

Chicago Fire demonstrates a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.67 goals per home game. Nashville SC conceded no goals in their only away game so far this season. No specific venue or weather data is available to influence the match.

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