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Major League Soccer

New England - CF Montréal

04/04/2026, 08:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
New England
1.6
Total xG
3.0
CF Montréal
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
NECM

New England

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.95
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.64
防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均2球)
+0.30
12%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)

CF Montréal

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.40
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

27%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts New England as favorites for a home win with 42%
  • New England's home strength (Avg. 2.0 home goals, Avg. 0.33 home goals conceded) meets Montréal's away weakness (Avg. 2.8 away goals conceded)
  • New England averaged 4.0 shots on target in their last 4 matches
风险因素
  • CF Montréal concedes an average of 2.8 goals per away game
  • New England has conceded an overall average of 2.25 goals per game
  • Both teams show poor season form with only one win so far
概述

New England (11th place, 3 points) host CF Montréal (12th place, 3 points) in Major League Soccer

Match on April 4, 2026, 4:30 PM

Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the league table

近期状态

New England's current form is L-L-W-L across all competitions

This translates to 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses in their last 4 matches

The last result was a loss

CF Montréal has a form of L-L-W-L-L

This means 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches

CF Montréal suffered two consecutive losses recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

New England has scored an average of 2.0 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 2.25 goals

CF Montréal has averaged 1.4 goals per game and conceded 2.8 goals per match

New England had over 2.5 goals in 3 games and both teams scored in 3 games

CF Montréal had over 2.5 goals in all 5 games and both teams scored in 2 games

In home games, New England scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 0.33 goals

CF Montréal conceded an average of 2.8 goals in away games and scored 1.4 goals per away match

Both teams scored (BTTS), Over 2.5 goals (Over 2.5)

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between New England and CF Montréal

New England won 2 of these games, CF Montréal won 1, and there was 1 draw

The goal difference is 11:5 in favor of New England

The last encounter on July 25, 2025, ended in a 1:3 victory for CF Montréal

New England has been dominant recently in direct comparisons

关键球员

For New England, Luca Langoni is an important provider with 4 assists

Brayan Ceballos contributed 2 goals in 3 appearances and has an average rating of 7.33

Carles Gil has provided 1 assist this season with an average rating of 7.22

For CF Montréal, Prince Owusu stands out with 4 season goals and 1 assist

Wikelman José Carmona Torres has scored 3 goals and 1 assist, and his form trend is rising

Iván Jaime has contributed 1 assist this season

门将

New England's goalkeeper is Matt Turner

The team has achieved 0 clean sheets this season

Thomas Guilier is in goal for CF Montréal

The team has recorded 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

New England shows strong home performance with an average of 2.0 home goals scored and only 0.33 home goals conceded

CF Montréal exhibits defensive weaknesses away from home, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per away game

The provided dataset does not list any historical venue data or weather data

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