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Major League Soccer

DC United - Dallas

04/04/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 4
预期进球
DC United
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Dallas
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
DUDAL

DC United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.51倍)
-1.40
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.93
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.06
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1球)
全员可用

Dallas

防守实力 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+1.16
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.55倍)
+0.75
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.54
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.15
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体2.5球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

28%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

72%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Offensive strength: Dallas scores consistently (~2.5 goals per game) and averages 4.8 shots on target (average)
  • Form advantage: Dallas with 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 games, DC United with only 2 wins
  • Prediction model: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for DC United with 40%
风险因素
  • Limited offensive threat: DC United recently averaged only 2.2 shots on target (few attempts)
  • Defensive weakness: Dallas concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game this season
  • Missing data: Dallas has not played any away games this season, making it difficult to assess their away performance
概述

DC United (7th place, 7 points) host Dallas (8th place, 8 points)

Major League Soccer match on April 4, 2026, 7:30 PM

Both teams are in the mid-table, a win could help them close the gap to the top spots

近期状态

DC United's current form across all competitions is WLLWD

This indicates 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games

The last matchday ended in a draw

Dallas shows a form of WDLDW

This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

The last matchday brought a win for Dallas

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

DC United recently drew 0-0 away against Atlanta United

Before that, they had a 2-1 away win against Chicago Fire

Dallas recently won 4-3 at home against Houston Dynamo

A 3-3 home draw against San Diego preceded that

统计数据

DC United scores an average of 0.8 goals per game and concedes 0.8 goals this season

Both teams scored in 2 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 matches

Dallas scores an average of 2.0 goals per game and concedes 1.8 goals

Both teams scored in 3 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 matches

DC United has kept 2 clean sheets this season, Dallas 1

DC United's home games see an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded

Dallas has not played any away games this season

历史交锋

Historically, there has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

Dallas won 1 of these matches, DC United none

There were no draws

DC United scored 3 goals, Dallas 4 goals in these encounters

The last encounter took place on August 24, 2024, Dallas won 4-3

Dallas has been more dominant in recent direct encounters

关键球员

For DC United, Tai Baribo is an important attacker with 3 season goals

Matti Peltola proved to be a prolific midfielder with 1 season goal

Peglow contributed 1 assist this season

For Dallas, Petar Musa is a key player with 6 season goals and 4 goals in the last 5 games

Logan Farrington scored 3 season goals and 1 assist, with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches

Bernard Kamungo contributed 1 assist this season

门将

Sean Johnson is DC United's goalkeeper and has kept 2 clean sheets this season

Michael Collodi is Dallas's goalkeeper and has recorded 1 clean sheet

影响因素

DC United averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded in home games

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