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Major League Soccer

Atlanta United - Columbus Crew

04/04/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Atlanta United
1.5
Total xG
3.0
Columbus Crew
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
AUCC

Atlanta United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-1.05
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.61
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均2球)
+0.03
全员可用

Columbus Crew

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
+1.01
防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.91
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.68
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

27%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis places Atlanta United as slight favorites with a 39% win probability, compared to Columbus Crew at 34%
  • The head-to-head record favors Columbus Crew, who won 3 of the last 4 direct encounters, including the last one with a 5:4 score
  • Atlanta United exhibits a more stable home defense, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game
风险因素
  • Atlanta United averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Columbus Crew is in a form crisis with zero wins and two consecutive losses in their last 5 matches
  • The small difference in win probabilities (Atlanta 39% vs. Columbus 34%) suggests an open match
概述

Atlanta United (10th place, 4 points) host Columbus Crew (14th place, 2 points) in Major League Soccer

The match is scheduled for April 4, 2026, 7:30 PM

Both teams are at the lower end of the table

近期状态

Atlanta United's form is LLLWD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)

Their last match ended in a draw

Columbus Crew's form is LDDLL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), with two consecutive losses

统计数据

Atlanta United averages 1.0 home goal per game and concedes 0.8 goals

They achieved 1 clean sheet at home

Columbus Crew averages 1.0 away goal and concedes 1.4 goals

They have no away clean sheets

Atlanta United's matches saw both teams score in 2 games, Columbus Crew's in 3 games

Atlanta United had 2 games with over 2.5 goals, Columbus Crew had 3 games

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United secured 1 win, while Columbus Crew won 3 times

Columbus Crew leads with 10 goals scored compared to Atlanta United's 7

The last encounter, on September 13, 2025, saw Columbus Crew win 5:4

关键球员

Key players for Atlanta United include Aleksey Miranchuk with 3 season goals and Emmanuel Latte Lath with 1 goal and 2 assists this season

Miguel Almirón has contributed 2 assists

For Columbus Crew, Wessam Abou Ali is important with 3 season goals and 1 assist, as is Diego Rossi with 2 season goals

Max Arfsten contributed 1 assist, but his form is declining

门将

Lucas Hoyos is the goalkeeper for Atlanta United and has achieved 1 clean sheet this season

Patrick Schulte, the goalkeeper for Columbus Crew, also has 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

Atlanta United demonstrates a solid home defense, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game

Columbus Crew has a more vulnerable away defense, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match

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