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Major League Soccer

DC United - New England

08/19/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
DC United
1.5
Total xG
3.4
New England
1.9
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

2:2

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
DUNE

DC United

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.22
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.12
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.12
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.10
Peglow未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)

New England

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+1.18
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.59
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.06
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.05

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

24%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

76%

双方进球

68%

32%

关键因素
  • Away defensive struggles: New England concede an average of 3.0 goals per away match this season
  • Tactical approach: DC United recently played counter-oriented with an average of 39% possession, while New England averaged 57% possession to dominate
  • Opposing form trends: DC United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, whereas New England suffered losses in their last two outings
风险因素
  • DC United show defensive vulnerabilities at home, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per game
  • New England's major defensive weakness is highlighted by their average of 3.0 goals conceded per away match
概述

DC United host New England at Audi Field

Major League Soccer match on August 19, 2026, 11:30 PM

DC United sit in 9th place with 24 points, while New England are in 4th with 30 points

The model calculates a home win probability of 29% and an away win of 47%

近期状态

DC United are unbeaten in their last 5 games with a form of DDWDD (1 win, 4 draws)

New England have struggled recently with a form of DWDLL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)

The hosts show a more stable trend compared to the visiting side

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

DC United score an average of 1.42 goals and concede 1.58 goals per game

New England average 1.53 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded this season

At home, DC United score 1.36 and concede a high average of 1.73 goals per game

Away from home, New England concede an extremely high average of 3.0 goals per game

历史交锋

Even historical record with 2 wins each and 1 draw in 5 head-to-head matches

The goal difference in these direct encounters is perfectly balanced at 6:6

The last match on April 11, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for New England

关键球员

Tai Baribo shines for DC United with 12 season goals and an average rating of 7.14

Carles Gil leads New England with 7 goals, 3 assists, and a strong rating of 7.55

Louis Munteanu has contributed 5 goals and 2 assists for the home side

Dor Turgeman remains highly dangerous for the visitors with 4 goals and 5 assists

Not nominated for DC United: Peglow (1 goal, 3 assists)

门将

Sean Johnson guards the net for DC United, holding a 6.83 average rating and 4 clean sheets

Matt Turner is in goal for New England, boasting a 7.18 rating and 4 clean sheets

Both keepers enter this match with an identical number of clean sheets this season

影响因素

Audi Field has proven to be highly entertaining with an average of 4.2 goals per match

Both teams scored in all of DC United's last 5 home matches (100% BTTS rate)

The match will be played on natural grass, fitting the standard conditions for both sides

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