Major League Soccer
New England - Orlando City
09/19/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.4
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
New England
Orlando City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
25%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
67%
否
33%
关键因素
- Defensive discrepancy: New England concedes only 0.85 goals at home, while Orlando City concedes an average of 3.25 goals away
- Tactical threat: New England recently averaged 6.4 shots on target per match, compared to Orlando City's average of 5.6
- Missing key players: Orlando City is missing crucial squad members including Antoine Griezmann (8 goals) and Griffin Dorsey
风险因素
- Historical H2H trend: New England is winless in their last 4 meetings against Orlando City, suffering 3 defeats
- Defensive vulnerability: Orlando City has already conceded 56 goals in 25 matches this season
概述
New England (3rd place, 43 points) host Orlando City (6th place, 34 points) at the Gillette Stadium
An exciting clash in the upper region of the Major League Soccer table
The hosts enter the match as favorites with a 45% win probability according to the mathematical model
近期状态
New England shows a solid form with a DWLWW record (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The hosts recently secured two consecutive wins
Orlando City is in excellent shape with a WDWWW record and remains unbeaten in their last five matches
统计数据
New England scores an average of 1.64 goals and concedes 1.24 per game this season
At home, the hosts' defense is highly stable, conceding only 0.85 goals per match
Orlando City shines offensively with 1.76 goals per game but shows major defensive weaknesses with 2.24 goals conceded on average
Especially away from home, Orlando City concedes a massive average of 3.25 goals
历史交锋
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New England did not manage a single win
Orlando City dominates the history with 3 wins and 1 draw
The last meeting on July 19, 2025 ended in a 1-2 away victory for Orlando City
关键球员
For New England, Carles Gil shines with 10 goals and Dor Turgeman has 7 goals and 6 assists
Peyton Miller contributed 5 goals and 4 assists
Orlando City relies on Martín Ojeda with 11 goals and Justin Ellis with 9 assists
Tyrese Spicer scored 6 goals this season
Not nominated for New England: Alhassan Yusuf (5 goals, 1 assist) and Jack Harrison (3 assists)
Not nominated for Orlando City: Antoine Griezmann (8 goals, 3 assists), Griffin Dorsey (3 goals, 1 assist), Zakaria Taifi, and Eduard Atuesta
门将
New England relies on Matt Turner with 5 clean sheets and a rating of 7.18
Orlando City's goal is guarded by Maxime Crépeau with 4 clean sheets and a rating of 6.81
影响因素
The match is played on artificial turf
New England has a positive home record on this surface with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Orlando City won their only artificial turf game of the season by 3-2