比赛报告 →
Inter Miami – DC United4 : 0
模型为何这样判断
Inter Miami
2.04
总 xG
3.37
DC United
1.33
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Inter Miami | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.2球) | +0.73 | +0.73 |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球) | −0.26 | |
| 状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.5 赛季平均) | −0.26 | |
| 状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均) | +0.14 | |
| 排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第3位, 相差9位) | −0.13 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球) | −0.10 | |
| 排名优势 (第3位 vs 第12位, 相差9位) | +0.09 | |
| Germán Berterame未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻) | ||
| Telasco Segovia未进大名单 (3球, 8助攻) | ||
| Ian Fray未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻) | ||
| Tai Baribo未进大名单 (14球, 0助攻) | ||
| Louis Munteanu未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻) | ||
| 52%进球产出缺失 (仅73%可用) |
关键因素
- Offensive power at Chase Stadium: Inter Miami scored 64 season goals (avg 2.37) and Chase Stadium averaged 4.6 goals per game recently
- H2H dominance & model odds: Inter Miami won 4 of the last 5 meetings against DC United with the model predicting a 53% home win probability
- Visitor attack compromised: DC United are without Tai Baribo (14 goals) and Louis Munteanu (6 goals) in their starting lineup
风险
- Inter Miami form dip: Inter Miami are winless in 5 matches (form DDDDL) and averaged only 1.6 goals per match in recent outings
- Defensive vulnerabilities: Inter Miami have conceded 50 goals this season (avg 1.85) while DC United concede avg 1.42 goals away
全部概率
赛果
Inter Miami53%
平局24%
DC United24%
进球
大于 1.586%
小于 1.514%
大于 2.565%
小于 2.535%
大于 3.544%
小于 3.556%
双重机会
Inter Miami或平局76%
DC United或平局47%
非平局76%
双方均进球
是65%
否35%
最可能的比分
1:1
11%
2:1
10%
2:0
7%
3:1
6%
2:2
6%
4:0
最终比分
首发阵容
Inter Miami 4-3-3 · DC United 4-4-2
Inter Miami
- 97 D. St Clair
- 2 G. Luján Melli
- 5 C. Casimiro
- 16 M. dos Santos Silva
- 3 S. Reguilón Rodríguez
- 7 R. de Paul
- 22 D. Ayala
- 80 M. Galarza Fonda
- 10 L. Messi
- 9 L. Suárez Díaz
- 19 G. Berterame
DC United
- 1 S. Johnson
- 2 K. Nono
- 3 L. Bartlett
- 15 K. Rowles
- 6 K. Kurokawa
- 77 H. Kijima
- 27 N. Markovic
- 21 A. Dozzell
- 7 J. Martins Peglow
- 9 T. Baribo
- 25 J. Hopkins
替补
- 4 F. Mura
- 8 T. Segovia Pérez
- 17 I. Fray
- 20 S. Morales
- 34 R. Ríos Novo
- 37 M. Falcón Picart
- 42 Y. Bright
- 56 D. Pintér
- 76 C. Abadia-Reda
- 88 A. Shaw
- 13 L. Barraza
- 11 R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza
- 70 D. Sumalla
- 59 P. Plambeck
- 47 I. Zeltzer-Zubida
- 5 S. Hefti
- 4 M. Peltola
- 8 J. Stroud
- 12 W. Antley
- 13 S. Nealis
- 23 B. Servania
- 26 A. Bono
- 48 G. Turner
- 22 N. Ordaz
- 32 O. Avilez
- 40 K. Reynoso
- 20 G. Leveille
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