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Major League Soccer

Atlanta United - Sporting KC

08/23/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Atlanta United
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Sporting KC
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
AUSK

Atlanta United

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.18
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.18
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.08
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

Sporting KC

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.53倍)
-0.60
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.10
Dejan Joveljić替补席 (8球, 1助攻)
52%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

28%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

72%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Atlanta United currently scores more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.2), while Sporting KC's goal production stalls at 0.6
  • Major disadvantage on artificial turf: Sporting KC lost both of their previous matches on this surface with a score of 0:9
  • Tactical comparison: Atlanta United averaged 4.0 shots on target with 44% possession in recent matches
风险因素
  • Dejan Joveljić is missing from the squad, leaving only 64% of the usual goal threat available
  • Short recovery time for both teams with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Disastrous away defensive record with an average of 4.43 goals conceded per away game for Sporting KC
概述

Atlanta United hosts Sporting KC at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 23, 2026, 11:00 PM

A clash between table neighbors from the lower tier of the standings

Atlanta United is in 15th place with 18 points

Sporting KC occupies 15th place with 15 points

The mathematical model predicts a 51% home win probability with 1.60 expected goals for Atlanta United

近期状态

Atlanta United's form is on the rise with two consecutive wins

Home team form string: DLLWW

The home side recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last matches

Sporting KC shows a negative trend and is winless in four matches

Away team form string: WLLLD

The away side registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

统计数据

Atlanta United scores an average of 1.15 goals and concedes 1.75 goals per game this season

In home matches, the home side averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded

Sporting KC scores an average of 0.95 goals and concedes 2.45 goals per match

The visitors are particularly vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 4.43 goals per away game

For Atlanta United, 13 out of 20 matches ended with both teams scoring

Sporting KC has not recorded a single clean sheet this season

关键球员

Miguel Almirón has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists in 14 appearances with an average rating of 7.41

Aleksey Miranchuk contributed 5 goals and 7 assists in 19 matches with a rating of 7.22

Tristan Muyumba scored 4 goals in 20 matches with a rating of 7.07

Calvin Harris has registered 3 goals and 3 assists in 20 appearances with a rating of 6.75

Lasse Berg Johnsen has recorded 1 goal in 16 appearances with a rating of 6.91

Jake Davis has contributed 2 assists in 19 appearances with a rating of 6.59

门将

Lucas Hoyos guards the goal for Atlanta United with 20 appearances, an average rating of 6.74, and 1 clean sheet

Stefan Cleveland is in goal for Sporting KC with 11 appearances, a rating of 6.57, and 0 clean sheets

影响因素

The Mercedes-Benz Stadium features an artificial turf surface

Atlanta United recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses on this surface this season, with 14:18 goals

Sporting KC lost both previous matches on artificial turf with a combined score of 0:9

Stadium statistics show an average of 3.6 goals per game with a 100% BTTS rate

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