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Major League Soccer

San Diego - Portland Timbers

04/26/2026, 01:30 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
San Diego
1.7
Total xG
3.0
Portland Timbers
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SDPT

San Diego

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-0.42
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.23
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.20
Lewis Morgan 替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Portland Timbers

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.11
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.01
Antony替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

27%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

73%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • San Diego's strong home defense (Avg. 0.67 goals conceded) meets Portland's vulnerable away defense (Avg. 3.33 goals conceded)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 46% probability
  • San Diego dominates head-to-head encounters with 3 wins and a goal difference of 12:3 in 5 matches
风险因素
  • San Diego has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • San Diego's goal production has recently declined (Avg. 1.0 goals), with the season average at 1.8 goals
  • The unlisted Lewis Morgan  reduces San Diego's available assist threat by 15%
概述

San Diego (10th place, 11 points) host Portland Timbers (13th place, 7 points) in Major League Soccer

The match is scheduled for April 26, 2026, 3:30 AM

Both teams aim to improve their mid-table positions

近期状态

San Diego's current form is poor: DLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last game ended in a loss

Portland Timbers' form is LDLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Portland Timbers also lost their last game

统计数据

San Diego scored an average of 1.78 goals per game this season and conceded 1.67 goals

In home games, San Diego is strong offensively (Avg. 1.67 goals) and defensively (Avg. 0.67 goals conceded)

The team kept 3 clean sheets and both teams scored in 4 matches

6 of their games ended with over 2.5 goals

Portland Timbers scored an average of 1.38 goals per game and conceded 2.25 goals

Away from home, Portland Timbers scored Avg. 1.33 goals and conceded Avg. 3.33 goals

The team has kept 0 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 matches

5 of their games ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches between San Diego and Portland Timbers, San Diego secured 3 wins

There were 0 wins for Portland Timbers and 2 draws

San Diego scored 12 goals, while Portland Timbers scored 3 goals

The last encounter saw San Diego win convincingly 4:0 on November 10, 2025

San Diego has shown recent dominance in these matchups

关键球员

San Diego can rely on key players

Marcus Ingvartsen scored 5 goals and 2 assists this season with an average rating of 7.17

Anders Dreyer contributed 4 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 7.65

Onni Valakari has 3 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.99

For Portland Timbers, Kristoffer Velde is a key player with 3 goals and a rating of 6.86

Kevin Kelsy scored 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 6.69

Cole Bassett contributed 0 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.26

门将

Duran Ferree is San Diego's goalkeeper and has 8 season appearances

San Diego achieved 3 clean sheets this season

James Pantemis is Portland Timbers' goalkeeper with 8 season appearances

Portland Timbers achieved 0 clean sheets this season

影响因素

San Diego shows strong offensive performance in home games with an average of 1.67 goals scored

Their home defense is also robust, allowing only 0.67 goals conceded per game

Portland Timbers scores an average of 1.33 goals away from home

Their away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.33 goals per game

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