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Major League Soccer

Austin - Philadelphia Union

08/23/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Austin
1.4
Total xG
3.1
Philadelphia Union
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
AUSPU

Austin

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.69
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.23
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
Facundo Torres替补席 (2球, 5助攻)

Philadelphia Union

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.65
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.22
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.22
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

26%

客胜

45%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

55%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

74%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Not nominated: Facundo Torres (2G/5A)
  • Philadelphia Union averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • The mathematical model estimates an away win probability of 45%
风险因素
  • Austin with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.17 goals in away matches
概述

Austin (14th place, 20 points) host Philadelphia Union (13th place, 20 points) at the Q2 Stadium

MLS match on August 23, 2026, 2:30 AM

Both teams fight for crucial points in the lower half of the table

近期状态

Austin has a record of WLLLW in their last 5 games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Most recently they won 2-1 against Seattle Sounders

Philadelphia Union is unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of WWWWD

Most recently they drew 2-2 against Inter Miami

统计数据

Austin scores an average of 1.25 goals and concedes 1.95 goals per game

At home Austin concedes only 0.9 goals per match

Philadelphia Union scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes 1.85 goals

Away Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.17 goals

Both teams scored in 12 of Austin's 20 matches

历史交锋

Only 1 head-to-head match in the last 2 years

The match on March 17, 2024 ended in a 2-2 draw

关键球员

Myrto Uzuni scored 6 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Christian Ramirez contributed 5 goals and 1 assist

Milan Iloski leads Philadelphia Union with 10 goals and 2 assists

门将

Brad Stuver kept 4 clean sheets this season for Austin

Andre Blake achieved 3 clean sheets so far for Philadelphia Union

影响因素

The match is played on grass at Q2 Stadium

The historical average at this stadium is 3.0 goals per game

Austin has a positive goal difference of 13-9 at home

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