🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

Atlanta United - New York City

09/26/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Atlanta United
1.3
Total xG
2.6
New York City
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
AUNYC

Atlanta United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.75
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
Aleksey Miranchuk替补席 (6球, 7助攻)
Miguel Almirón替补席 (4球, 5助攻)
54%进球产出缺失 (仅40%可用)

New York City

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.23
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.21
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.17
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.03
Luighi替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Tayvon Gray替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

30%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

54%

否

46%

关键因素
  • Weakened home attack: Atlanta United is missing Aleksey Miranchuk and Miguel Almirón, leaving only 41% of their typical goal threat on the pitch
  • Low shooting efficiency: Both teams recently averaged just 3.2 shots on target per match
  • Declining offensive output: New York City's goal production slowed down to an average of 1.0 goals recently, compared to their season average of 1.5
风险因素
  • Lack of match practice: Away goalkeeper Tomás Romero has not played a single minute in a league match this season
  • Away defensive vulnerability: New York City concedes an average of 1.44 goals per away game
概述

Atlanta United (14th place, 26 points) hosts New York City (10th place, 32 points)

Major League Soccer match on September 26, 2026, 11:30 PM

Played at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta

Both teams fight for crucial points in the middle of the standings

近期状态

Atlanta United shows the recent form of LDLDW

The hosts recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games

New York City has a form record of DDLWL

The visitors also registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atlanta United averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.65 goals conceded per match

In 15 home games, Atlanta scored 17 times and conceded 21 goals

New York City averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded

Away from home, the visitors concede an average of 1.44 goals per game

历史交锋

In 4 direct matches, both teams have 1 win each and 2 draws

The overall goal difference is 10:7 in favor of New York City

The last encounter ended in a 4-0 victory for New York City

关键球员

For Atlanta United, Breel Embolo (1 goal), Tristan Muyumba (4 goals), and Elías Báez (1 goal, 3 assists) are key

For New York City, Nicolás Fernández Mercau (15 goals, 4 assists) and Agustín Ojeda (5 goals, 8 assists) stand out

Andrés Perea (1 goal, 1 assist) is also featured in the visitors' starting lineup

门将

Lucas Hoyos starts for Atlanta in goal and has kept 3 clean sheets this season

Tomás Romero starts for New York City

Romero has not made any league appearances this season

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 defeats on this surface

Recent matches at this venue have seen an average of 3.2 goals

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。