比赛报告 →
DC United – New York RB2 : 1
模型为何这样判断
DC United
1.71
总 xG
3.36
New York RB
1.65
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | DC United | New York RB |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.1球) | +0.60 | +0.60 |
| 防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.7球) | +0.31 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球) | −0.08 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球) | −0.06 | |
| Louis Munteanu未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻) | ||
| Peglow替补席 (1球, 4助攻) | ||
| 全员可用 |
关键因素
- Tight model projection: Win probabilities are closely balanced at 39% for DC United and 36% for New York RB
- High probability of goals on both sides: The model calculates a 68% chance for both teams to score
- Dangerous attack leaders: Tai Baribo scores consistently for DC United while Julian Hall shows rising form with 4 goals in his last 5 matches
风险
- Away defensive vulnerability: New York RB average 2.08 goals conceded per away match
- Low possession share: DC United averaged just 35.6% possession in recent matches
全部概率
赛果
DC United39%
平局25%
New York RB36%
进球
大于 1.586%
小于 1.514%
大于 2.565%
小于 2.535%
大于 3.543%
小于 3.557%
双重机会
DC United或平局64%
New York RB或平局61%
非平局75%
双方均进球
是67%
否33%
最可能的比分
1:1
11%
2:1
8%
1:2
8%
2:2
7%
2:0
5%
首发阵容
DC United 4-3-3 · New York RB 4-3-3
DC United
- 1 S. Johnson
- 5 S. Hefti
- 3 L. Bartlett
- 15 K. Rowles
- 6 K. Kurokawa
- 2 K. Nono
- 21 A. Dozzell
- 23 B. Servania
- 32 O. Avilez
- 9 T. Baribo
- 25 J. Hopkins
New York RB
- 34 E. Horvath
- 12 D. Nealis
- 2 J. Che
- 14 J. Bazán Medina
- 59 D. Padelford
- 48 R. Donkor
- 15 A. Mehmeti
- 37 M. Sofo
- 11 J. Ruvalcaba
- 16 J. Hall
- 7 C. Cowell
替补
- 4 M. Peltola
- 7 J. Martins Peglow
- 8 J. Stroud
- 13 S. Nealis
- 26 A. Bono
- 27 N. Markovic
- 48 G. Turner
- 22 N. Ordaz
- 40 K. Reynoso
- 3 J. Marshall-Rutty
- 10 E. Forsberg
- 13 J. Choupo-Moting
- 56 M. Dos Santos
- 77 J. McCarthy
- 79 R. Mosquera
- 17 C. Harper
- 60 S. Kone
- 45 C. Faello
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