比赛报告 →
Nashville SC – Sporting KC4 : 0
模型为何这样判断
Nashville SC
2.52
总 xG
3.53
Sporting KC
1.01
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Nashville SC | Sporting KC |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.3球) | +0.78 | +0.78 |
| 最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球) | +0.34 | |
| 状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.2 赛季平均) | +0.34 | |
| 排名优势 (第1位 vs 第15位, 相差14位) | +0.17 | |
| 排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第1位, 相差14位) | −0.16 | |
| 最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球) | +0.01 | |
| Patrick Yazbek替补席 (1球, 3助攻) | ||
| Calvin Harris替补席 (4球, 4助攻) | ||
| Stephen Afrifa替补席 (3球, 3助攻) | ||
| Taylor Calheira替补席 (3球, 2助攻) | ||
| Justin Reynolds未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻) | ||
| Emir Karic替补席 (0球, 2助攻) | ||
| Lasse Berg Johnsen未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻) | ||
| 54%进球产出缺失 (仅36%可用) |
关键因素
- Visitor squad impact: Only 37% of threat active without Calvin Harris, Stephen Afrifa, Taylor Calheira, Justin Reynolds, Emir Karic, Lasse Berg Johnsen
- Form edge and model expectation: Nashville SC on a 3-match winning streak with a calculated win probability of 69%
- Defensive contrast: Nashville SC concede just 0.63 goals per home match, compared to Sporting KC conceding 3.55 per away match
风险
- Away defensive weakness: Sporting KC concede an average of 3.55 goals per away game
- Limited data availability for head-to-head records
- Weather factor: Light rain conditions at 29.31°C
全部概率
赛果
Nashville SC69%
平局19%
Sporting KC12%
进球
大于 1.588%
小于 1.512%
大于 2.568%
小于 2.532%
大于 3.547%
小于 3.553%
双重机会
Nashville SC或平局88%
Sporting KC或平局31%
非平局81%
双方均进球
是59%
否41%
最可能的比分
2:1
9%
3:1
8%
3:0
8%
4:1
5%
4:0
5%
首发阵容
Nashville SC 4-2-3-1 · Sporting KC 4-4-2
Nashville SC
- 99 B. Schwake
- 31 A. Najar Rodríguez
- 4 J. Palacios Murillo
- 3 M. Woledzi
- 27 R. Vanarthur Baker-Whiting
- 20 E. Tagseth
- 16 M. Corcoran
- 7 C. Espinoza
- 10 H. Mukhtar
- 11 E. Saad
- 9 S. Surridge
Sporting KC
- 30 S. Cleveland
- 2 I. James
- 15 J. Miller
- 28 W. Meyer
- 99 J. Reid
- 11 A. Inácio da Silva
- 22 Z. Bassong
- 20 K. Agyabeng
- 93 M. Suleymanov
- 24 R. Ramos Jr.
- 29 S. Garfield-Reid
替补
- 1 J. Willis
- 2 D. Lovitz
- 5 J. Maher
- 6 B. Acosta Ramos
- 8 P. Yazbek
- 19 A. Muyl
- 22 J. Bauer
- 41 W. Madrigal Molina
- 14 S. Mohammed
- 18 E. Karic
- 1 J. Pulskamp
- 8 J. Davis
- 14 C. Harris
- 16 J. Bartlett
- 17 S. Afrifa
- 19 T. Calheira
- 23 E. Bartlow
- 7 O. Capemba
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