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Major League Soccer

Sporting KC - Minnesota United

07/23/2026, 12:30 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Sporting KC
1.2
Total xG
3.3
Minnesota United
2.1
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

1:3

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SKMU

Sporting KC

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.93
防守不足 (场均失2.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.69
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.36
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.16
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第7位, 相差8位)
-0.11
全员可用

Minnesota United

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.57
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.19
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第15位, 相差8位)
+0.08
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
Nectarios Triantis替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

21%

平局

23%

客胜

56%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

44%

客胜或平局

79%

非平局

77%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Clear defensive vulnerability: Sporting KC concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game this season and has kept zero clean sheets
  • Historical H2H dominance: Minnesota United won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Sporting KC, including a clear 3-0 victory in the most recent match
  • Massive recovery advantage: The visitors benefited from an exceptionally long break of 61 days since their last match compared to just 6 days for the hosts
风险因素
  • Vulnerable home defense: Sporting KC concedes an average of 1.75 goals per match at home
  • High-scoring home trend: Both teams scored in all of the last 5 matches at Children's Mercy Park, indicating a high risk of conceding for the visitors
  • Increased away conceding rate: Minnesota United concedes an average of 1.7 goals on the road compared to just 1.0 in home matches
概述

Sporting KC host Minnesota United

Major League Soccer clash at Children's Mercy Park on July 23, 2026, 2:30 AM

Sporting KC is currently in 15th place with 11 points

Minnesota United is in 7th place with 22 points

The visitors enter the match as clear favorites with a predicted win probability of 55.6%

近期状态

Sporting KC has a form string of LWWLL

The hosts lost their last match 2-3 against St. Louis City

Minnesota United's form string is WDLLD

The visitors recently played out a 1-1 draw against Real Salt Lake

Sporting KC has already suffered 10 defeats this season

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sporting KC averages 1.07 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded per match

In home games, the hosts average 1.12 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded

Minnesota United scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 1.47 goals per match

Sporting KC has failed to keep a single clean sheet this season

Minnesota United concedes an average of 1.7 goals in away matches

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC has 0 wins while Minnesota United has 4 wins

One encounter ended in a draw

The goal difference in these matches is 5-13 against Sporting KC

The last meeting ended in a clear 3-0 victory for Minnesota United on October 5, 2025

关键球员

Dejan Joveljić has scored 7 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Manu García has recorded 1 goal and 4 assists

Calvin Harris has registered 2 goals and 3 assists

Kelvin Yeboah is the top scorer of the visitors with 8 goals

Anthony Markanich Jr. has scored 4 goals and contributed 2 assists

Joaquín Pereyra stands out with 1 goal and 5 assists

门将

Stefan Cleveland played 6 matches and is still waiting for a clean sheet

Drake Callender has made 15 appearances and kept 4 clean sheets

Cleveland has an average rating of 6.59 while Callender holds a rating of 6.82

影响因素

At Children's Mercy Park, matches have averaged 3.6 goals over the last 5 games

Both teams scored in all of the last 5 home games

Minnesota United had a significantly longer break of 61 days since their last match compared to just 6 days for Sporting KC

The match will be played on natural grass

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