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Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids - San Diego

07/23/2026, 01:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Colorado Rapids
1.7
Total xG
3.1
San Diego
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CRSD

Colorado Rapids

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.36
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.36
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.04
Darren Yapi替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Wayne Frederick未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Lucas Herrington替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)

San Diego

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.18
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.18
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.01
David Vazquez替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Amahl Pellegrino未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Luca Bombino未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

26%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

74%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Tactical advantage: San Diego averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Colorado's 3.0
  • Model prediction: Mathematical analysis shows Colorado Rapids as slight favorites with a 44% win probability
  • Scoring trend: San Diego averaged 2.6 goals recently, which is higher than their season average of 2.0
风险因素
  • San Diego's extreme away weakness, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per match on the road
  • Colorado missing key players: Only 87% of usual starting lineup strength available with Wayne Frederick out
  • San Diego missing key players: Only 89% of starting lineup strength available with Amahl Pellegrino out
概述

Colorado Rapids host San Diego

Major League Soccer match on July 23, 2026, 3:30 AM

Clash at Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Colorado sits in 13th place with 16 points

San Diego occupies 11th place with 17 points

A tight mid-table battle between neighbors

近期状态

Colorado Rapids current form: LLWLL

4 defeats and only 1 victory recently

The away win at Minnesota United remains the only highlight

San Diego comes in with a form of: DDWDL

3 draws, 1 win, and 1 defeat

Their last match ended in a loss against Vancouver Whitecaps

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Colorado scores an average of 1.67 goals per game this season

At home, the Rapids concede only 1.0 goals per match on average

San Diego averages 2.0 goals scored per game

In away matches, San Diego concedes a high average of 4.0 goals

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches so far

Both teams have won 1 game each

Even goal record with 4 goals to 3 in favor of San Diego

The last encounter on May 15, 2025, ended in a 2-0 win for San Diego

关键球员

Rafael Navarro is Colorado's top forward with 8 goals and 3 assists

Paxten Aaronson contributed 4 goals and 3 assists in midfield

Kosi Thompson solidifies the defense and has scored twice

Marcus Ingvartsen is San Diego's top scorer with 11 goals in 15 games

Ander Dreyer shines with 6 goals and 7 assists in attack

Onni Valakari guides the midfield with 3 goals and 3 assists

门将

Nicolas Hansen starts in goal for Colorado Rapids with a season rating of 7.0

San Diego fields CJ dos Santos, who has only made 2 appearances this season

Hansen has not kept a clean sheet in his matches so far

dos Santos has an average season rating of 6.62

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Stadium history reveals a high average of 3.8 goals per match

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches played at this venue

Colorado secures more stable results at home compared to away matches

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