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Major League Soccer

Austin - Seattle Sounders

07/23/2026, 01:30 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Austin
1.2
Total xG
2.5
Seattle Sounders
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

0:1

9%

1:2

8%

1:0

8%
xG 分解
AUSSS

Austin

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-1.06
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.46
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第6位, 相差8位)
-0.10
Christian Ramirez替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Jon Bell未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)

Seattle Sounders

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.29
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.17
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第14位, 相差8位)
+0.05
Cristian Roldán未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Jordan Morris未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

30%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Seattle averaged 5.8 shots on target recently, compared to Austin's 3.8
  • Austin's home advantage: Conceding only 0.86 goals per game at their own stadium
  • Mathematical analysis gives Seattle Sounders a slight advantage with a 37% win probability
风险因素
  • Both Austin and Seattle averaged only 1.0 goal scored per match recently
  • Both teams are in a form crisis with 3 consecutive losses each
  • Major absences for Seattle: Cristian Roldán and Jordan Morris are missing
概述

Austin (14th place, 14 points) host Seattle Sounders (6th place, 24 points)

Major League Soccer match at Q2 Stadium on July 23, 2026, 1:30 AM

Both teams urgently need points

近期状态

Austin's form is WDLLL with 1 win and 3 losses in the last 5 matches

Seattle Sounders have a form of DWLLL with 1 win and 3 losses

Both teams ended their last 3 matches with a loss

统计数据

Austin scores an average of 1.27 goals and concedes 2.07 goals per match

At home, their defense is stable, conceding only 0.86 goals on average

Seattle scores 1.25 goals away and concedes only 1.00 goal on average

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in total

Seattle Sounders with 2 wins, Austin with 1 win and 1 draw

The last match ended 2-1 for Austin on September 21, 2025

关键球员

Myrto Uzuni leads Austin with 5 season goals

Facundo Torres has contributed 1 goal and 5 assists

Albert Rusnák shines for Seattle with 3 goals and 4 assists

门将

Brad Stuver has an average rating of 7.27 and recorded 4 clean sheets

Andrew Thomas has a rating of 7.06 and kept 5 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at Q2 Stadium

The venue has an average of 2.6 goals per game

Home advantage for Austin with a much better defensive record at home

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