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Major League Soccer

St. Louis City - Austin

05/23/2026, 06:45 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
St. Louis City
2.1
Total xG
3.2
Austin
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

3:1

7%

3:0

6%
xG 分解
SLCAUS

St. Louis City

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.44
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.06
Sang-bin Jeong替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1球)

Austin

防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.81
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
Myrto Uzuni替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

23%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

77%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Prediction Advantage: Mathematical analysis indicates a home win probability of 58% and 2.07 expected goals for St. Louis City
  • Austin's Away Weakness: Austin concedes an average of 3.14 goals per away game, highlighting significant defensive vulnerability
  • St. Louis City's Home Defense: St. Louis City demonstrates a solid home defense, conceding an average of only 0.88 goals per home match
风险因素
  • Austin has suffered consecutive losses in their last two games, indicating a dip in form
  • St. Louis City averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, which could indicate lower offensive efficiency
概述

St. Louis City (14th place, 13 points) hosts Austin (13th place, 14 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 23, 2026, 8:45 PM. Both teams are in the lower half of the table, fighting to connect with the mid-table pack

近期状态

St. Louis City's form in the last five games is LLWWD, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, their last game ending in a draw. Austin's form is WWDLL, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their last five matches. Their last game was a loss, and they have suffered two consecutive losses (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

St. Louis City averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded per game this season. Austin averages 1.36 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game. At home, St. Louis City scores 1.0 goals per game and concedes only 0.88 goals. Austin is defensively vulnerable away, conceding 3.14 goals per game while scoring 1.43 goals themselves. Both teams scored in 8 of St. Louis City's games and 9 of Austin's games. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 of St. Louis City's matches and 10 of Austin's matches

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City secured 2 wins, Austin also has 2 wins, and 1 match ended in a draw. The goal difference is even with 6 goals for St. Louis City and 6 goals for Austin. The last encounter on May 3, 2026, resulted in a 0:2 defeat for St. Louis City

关键球员

For St. Louis City, Marcel Hartel (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.65 rating) and Chris Durkin (2 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.98 rating) are key players. Simon Becher contributes with 1 goal and 3 assists (avg 6.74 rating). Marcel Hartel's form trend is rising with a delta of 0.27. For Austin, Facundo Torres (1 goal, 5 assists, avg 7.21 rating) and Christian Ramirez (4 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.86 rating) are notable. Mikkel Desler shows a rising form trend with a delta of 0.36

门将

Ben Lundt is in goal for St. Louis City. St. Louis City has recorded 1 clean sheet this season. For Austin, Brad Stuver is the number one goalkeeper and has achieved 4 clean sheets

影响因素

St. Louis City has scored an average of 1.0 goals and conceded 0.88 goals at home, indicating a solid home defense. Home strength could be an important factor in this match

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