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Major League Soccer

LA Galaxy - Houston Dynamo

05/24/2026, 02:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
LA Galaxy
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Houston Dynamo
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
LGHD

LA Galaxy

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.45
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Lucas Sanabria替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

Houston Dynamo

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.34
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.12
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

29%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: Mathematical analysis indicates a home win with 42% probability
  • LA Galaxy's Home Strength: The team scores an average of 1.50 goals at home while conceding only 1.17 goals
  • Houston Dynamo's Away Weakness: The visitors concede an average of 2.29 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • C. Garcés Torres (Foot Injury), J. De Mello (Foot Injury), and R. Puig Martí (Cruciate Ligament Injury) are missing for LA Galaxy
概述

LA Galaxy (9th place, 19 points) host Houston Dynamo (8th place, 21 points) at Dignity Health Sports Park

Major League Soccer match on May 24, 2026, 04:30 AM

A mid-table clash where LA Galaxy aims to leverage its home strength

近期状态

LA Galaxy's recent form is WDWLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

Their last league win was away against Seattle Sounders with a 2-0 score

Houston Dynamo's form is LWWLW (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)

Their last league win was at home against Vancouver Whitecaps with a 1-0 score

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

LA Galaxy averages 1.50 goals scored per game and 1.50 goals conceded per game this season

At home, LA Galaxy scores an average of 1.50 goals and concedes 1.17 goals

Houston Dynamo averages 1.38 goals scored per game and 1.69 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Houston Dynamo scores an average of 1.43 goals and concedes 2.29 goals

Both teams scored in 12 out of 14 LA Galaxy games and in 5 out of 13 Houston Dynamo games

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 10 out of 14 LA Galaxy games and in 6 out of 13 Houston Dynamo games

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, there has been 1 win for LA Galaxy, 1 win for Houston Dynamo, and 2 draws

The goal difference is even at 5:5

The last encounter ended in a 1:1 draw on September 7, 2025

关键球员

For LA Galaxy, Gabriel Pec (5 goals, 4 assists), Marco Reus (4 goals, 5 assists), and Joseph Paintsil (2 goals, 2 assists) are key players

Gabriel Pec shows a stable form trend with 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Marco Reus recorded 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games, also with a stable trend

Joseph Paintsil has scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, his form trend is slightly declining

For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme (7 goals, 4 assists), Lawrence Ennali (3 goals, 2 assists), and Jack McGlynn  (2 goals, 2 assists) are crucial

Guilherme scored 2 times in the last 5 games, his form trend is declining

Lawrence Ennali scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists in the last 5 games with a stable form trend

Jack McGlynn  has scored 2 goals in the last 5 games, his form trend is stable

门将

LA Galaxy's goalkeeper, J. Marcinkowski, has an average rating of 7.02 this season

J. Marcinkowski kept 2 clean sheets in 10 season appearances

Houston Dynamo's goalkeeper, Jonathan Bond, has a season rating of 6.81

Jonathan Bond recorded 4 clean sheets in 13 season appearances

影响因素

LA Galaxy scores an average of 1.50 goals at home and concedes 1.17 goals

Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 42% probability

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