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Major League Soccer

Minnesota United - Colorado Rapids

05/14/2026, 12:30 AM

0 : 1
预期进球
Minnesota United
1.6
Total xG
2.7
Colorado Rapids
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
MUCR

Minnesota United

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.44
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.28
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第11位, 相差6位)
+0.05
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Tomás Chancalay替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
Nectarios Triantis替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.4球)

Colorado Rapids

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.53
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.42
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.38
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.12
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第5位, 相差6位)
-0.07
Darren Yapi替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Hamzat Ojediran未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Kosi Thompson替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Dante Sealy替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

28%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

72%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Defensive Contrast: Minnesota United's strong home defense (Avg. 0.75 goals conceded) faces Colorado's vulnerable away defense (Avg. 3.25 goals conceded)
  • Form Disparity: Minnesota United's good form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) contrasts with Colorado's losing streak (3 consecutive losses)
  • Tactical Strength: Minnesota United shows offensive strength with an average of 5.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, while Colorado Rapids is less direct with 2.6 shots on target
风险因素
  • Colorado Rapids concedes an average of 3.25 goals per away game
  • Colorado Rapids averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a draw with a probability of 28%
概述

Minnesota United (5th place, 21 points) host Colorado Rapids (11th place, 13 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 14, 2026, 1:30 AM. Minnesota United aims to solidify its playoff position, while Colorado Rapids seeks to escape the lower league standings.

近期状态

Minnesota United shows stable form in the last 5 games with WWLWD, achieving 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Austin. Colorado Rapids is in a difficult phase with form LDLLL, meaning 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 fixtures. Colorado has lost their last three games.

统计数据

Minnesota United averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.5 goals per game for the season. At home, they are defensively strong, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per home game and keeping 3 clean sheets. Colorado Rapids averages 1.83 goals per game and concedes 1.67 goals per game. Away from home, the Rapids' defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.25 goals per away game and achieving only 1 clean sheet.

历史交锋

In 4 previous head-to-head encounters, the record between Minnesota United and Colorado Rapids is even. Each team has secured 1 win, while 2 matches ended in a draw. Minnesota United scored 8 goals, and Colorado Rapids scored 6. The last meeting on September 28, 2025, resulted in a 1-1 draw.

关键球员

For Minnesota United, Kelvin Yeboah with 7 seasonal goals, Anthony Markanich Jr. with 4 goals and 2 assists, and Joaquín Pereyra with 1 goal and 4 assists are key players. For Colorado Rapids, Rafael Navarro stands out with 7 seasonal goals and 3 assists, Paxten Aaronson with 3 goals and 1 assist, and Lucas Herrington with 1 goal and 1 assist.

门将

Minnesota United's goalkeeper, Drake Callender, recorded 4 clean sheets this season, with 3 coming in home games. On the Colorado Rapids' side, goalkeeper Nicolas Hansen has achieved 2 clean sheets this season, with 1 in away matches.

影响因素

Minnesota United benefits from a home advantage, scoring an average of 1.25 goals and conceding only 0.75 goals in home matches. Colorado Rapids appear more vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.25 goals there.

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