Major League Soccer
Austin - LA Galaxy
04/11/2026, 06:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Austin
LA Galaxy
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
28%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Austin's strong home defense (Avg. 0.67 goals conceded) faces a vulnerable LA Galaxy away defense (Avg. 2.5 goals conceded)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 39% home win probability for Austin and a 28% chance of a draw
- LA Galaxy demonstrated a possession-dominant style in their last 5 games with an average of 7.6 shots on target
风险因素
- LA Galaxy concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- Austin averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- João Klauss is missing for LA Galaxy, leaving only 69% of the usual goal threat available
概述
Austin (10th place, 6 points) hosts LA Galaxy (12th place, 5 points) in Major League Soccer on April 11, 2026, 8:30 PM. Both teams are in the lower mid-table and are looking to move away from the relegation spots.
近期状态
Austin has achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches (Form: WLLDD). The team ended their last two games with a draw. LA Galaxy's form is WLLDL, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five encounters. Their last match ended in a loss.
统计数据
Austin has scored an average of 1.17 goals per game this season and conceded 1.5 goals per game. In home games, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded. LA Galaxy averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.67 goals. Away from home, LA Galaxy has conceded an average of 2.5 goals per game.
历史交锋
In the 4 previous head-to-head matches, there have been no draws. Austin won 3 of these matches, while LA Galaxy recorded 1 win. Austin scored a total of 6 goals, LA Galaxy 3. The last encounter on July 17, 2025, ended in a 2-1 victory for LA Galaxy.
关键球员
For Austin, Facundo Torres (Attacker) is a key player with 3 assists in 6 games and an average rating of 7.26, though his recent form shows a slight decline. Myrto Uzuni (Attacker) has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in 6 games, with his form also slightly declining. Christian Ramirez (Attacker) has contributed 1 goal in 5 games and shows stable form. For LA Galaxy, Marco Reus (Midfielder) stands out with 2 goals and 2 assists in 6 games and an average rating of 7.36. Gabriel Pec (Attacker) has delivered 2 assists in 5 games with a rating of 7.35. Lucas Sanabria (Midfielder) scored 1 goal in 6 games.
门将
Austin's goalkeeper, Brad Stuver, has an average rating of 7.24 in 6 season appearances and kept 2 clean sheets. LA Galaxy's J. Marcinkowski has an average rating of 6.48 in 2 appearances and has not recorded a clean sheet this season.
影响因素
Austin shows a solid defense at home, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per home game. LA Galaxy is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away game.