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Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union - Seattle Sounders

07/25/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Philadelphia Union
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Seattle Sounders
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
PUSS

Philadelphia Union

小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.40
防守实力 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.30
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.27
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.27
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第6位, 相差9位)
-0.13
Ben Bender替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Seattle Sounders

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.57
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.29
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第15位, 相差9位)
+0.05
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.03
Jesús Ferreira替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Jordan Morris未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.80
+0.80
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

30%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Opposing form trends: Philadelphia currently scores more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.5), while Seattle's goal production stalls at an average of 1.0
  • Tactical approach: Philadelphia showed high efficiency in recent matches, averaging 6.8 shots on target with only 39% possession
  • Squad limitations for the visitors: Seattle's key players Jesús Ferreira (2 goals, 4 assists) and Jordan Morris (1 goal, 2 assists) are not in the squad
风险因素
  • Recovery deficit: Seattle has even less recovery time with only 2 days since their last match compared to Philadelphia's 3 days
  • Defensive vulnerability of the hosts: Philadelphia has conceded an average of 1.94 goals per match this season
  • Defensive absences: The visitors are missing key defensive pillars with J. Ragen and A. Roldan out due to injury
概述

Philadelphia Union (15th place, 10 points) host Seattle Sounders (6th place, 24 points) at Subaru Park

MLS match on July 25, 2026, 11:30 PM

The home team aims to climb out of the bottom of the table

Home win probability is calculated at 39%

近期状态

Philadelphia Union shows a LLDLW form trend with a win in their last match

Seattle Sounders enter with a WLLLL form trend having lost their last four matches

The hosts recorded 1 win and 3 losses in their last 5 games

Seattle also registered 1 win and 4 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Philadelphia scores avg. 1.31 goals and concedes avg. 1.94 goals per match

Seattle stands at avg. 1.27 goals scored and avg. 1.27 goals conceded

Philadelphia's home record shows avg. 1.2 goals scored and avg. 1.4 goals conceded

Seattle concedes an average of 1.4 goals in away matches

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match so far

Seattle Sounders won that away match 3-2 on April 30, 2024

The historical goal difference stands at 2-3 in favor of Seattle

关键球员

Milan Iloski scored 8 goals this season with a 7.27 rating

Frankie Westfield has provided 3 assists this season

Cavan Sullivan scored once in 14 appearances

Albert Rusnák recorded 3 goals and 4 assists

Paul Rothrock leads his team with 5 goals

Osaze De Rosario scored 2 goals in 13 appearances

门将

Andre Blake has kept 2 clean sheets for Philadelphia

Andrew Thomas has recorded 5 clean sheets for Seattle

影响因素

Subaru Park averages 1.8 goals per game

The match will be played on grass

Philadelphia has only 3 days since their last match, while Seattle has only 2 days

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