Major League Soccer
New York City - Toronto
07/31/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.7
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
New York City
Toronto
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
29%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Defensive vulnerability: Toronto concede an average of 3.25 goals per away game, while New York City score 1.83 goals at home
- Historic dominance: New York City won all four previous head-to-head matches against Toronto
- Form contrast: New York City are in stable form (WDLWW) whereas Toronto remain winless in five games (LLDDL)
风险因素
- Massive injury list: Ten New York City players are out with leg injuries, including key contributors like M. Moralez and K. Alexander Parks
- Goalkeeper factor: Despite Toronto's away issues, Luka Gavran has recorded 3 away clean sheets this season
- Low attacking output: New York City averaged only 3.6 shots on target per game in recent matches
概述
New York City host Toronto at Yankee Stadium
Major League Soccer match on July 31, 2026, 11:30 PM
New York City occupy 5th place with 25 points
Toronto sit in 12th place with 16 points
近期状态
New York City show stable form with a WDLWW record
Toronto struggle with an LLDDL trend and are winless in five games
New York City recently secured two consecutive wins
Toronto suffered a defeat against DC United in their last match
统计数据
New York City score an average of 1.76 goals and concede 1.35 goals per game
At home they average 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded
Toronto average 1.35 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded overall
On the road Toronto concede an extremely high average of 3.25 goals per match
历史交锋
Four head-to-head matches took place in recent years
New York City won all four encounters
The overall goal difference stands at 9:4 in favor of the hosts
The last meeting ended in a 3:1 victory for New York City on July 3, 2025
关键球员
Nicolás Fernández Mercau recorded 12 goals and 3 assists in 17 appearances
Agustín Ojeda has 5 goals and 4 assists from 17 matches
Talles Magno contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 12 appearances
Dániel Sallói is Toronto's main threat with 4 goals and 3 assists
Josh Sargent scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 10 matches
Kobe Franklin added 2 goals and 2 assists as a defender
门将
Matt Freese has an average rating of 6.91 in 17 appearances with 3 clean sheets
Luka Gavran played 17 games with an average of 6.69 and 3 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at Yankee Stadium
Historically matches at this venue average a high 4.8 goals per game
New York City's strong home record contrasts with Toronto's severe away weakness