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Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders - LA Galaxy

05/17/2026, 01:15 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
Seattle Sounders
1.8
Total xG
2.8
LA Galaxy
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
SSLG

Seattle Sounders

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-1.13
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.22
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第11位, 相差8位)
+0.07
Albert Rusnák替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
Paul Rothrock替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Cristian Roldán替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
64%进球产出缺失 (仅56%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均2.2球 vs 总体1.7球)

LA Galaxy

小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.32
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.28
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第3位, 相差8位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
Lucas Sanabria替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.77
+0.77
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

26%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

74%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Seattle Sounders' home strength: They are in 3rd place and have a solid home defense (Avg. 0.62 goals conceded)
  • Form advantage: Seattle Sounders are in better shape with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games
  • Tactical dominance: Seattle Sounders averaged 7.6 shots on target with 57% possession in their last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Reduced goal threat for Seattle Sounders: Only 57% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available, with Albert Rusnák, Paul Rothrock, and Cristian Roldán not in the lineup
  • Fatigue risk: Both teams have only 3 days rest since their last match
  • Away defensive weakness of LA Galaxy: They concede an average of 2.00 goals per away game
概述

Seattle Sounders (3rd place, 24 points) host LA Galaxy (11th place, 16 points) in Major League Soccer. The match is scheduled for May 17, 2026, 2:15 AM. The Sounders are in a strong position and aim to consolidate their top league standing, while Galaxy seeks to climb out of the lower mid-table

近期状态

Seattle Sounders are in excellent form with W-W-D-D-W (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a win. LA Galaxy have been inconsistent with L-W-D-W-L (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) in their last five games. Their most recent result was a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Seattle Sounders have an average of 1.55 goals scored and 0.73 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 1.50 goals scored and 0.62 goals conceded. They kept 5 clean sheets. LA Galaxy averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they average 1.43 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded. They kept 1 clean sheet. For Seattle Sounders, both teams scored in 6 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 games. For LA Galaxy, both teams scored in 12 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 10 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy secured 2 wins, Seattle Sounders had 1 win, and there were 2 draws. The goal difference stands at 6:4 in favor of Seattle Sounders. Their last encounter on September 14, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw. LA Galaxy have been recently dominant in direct duels

关键球员

For Seattle Sounders, Jesús Ferreira (2 goals, 4 assists) and Jordan Morris (1 goal, 2 assists) are key attacking players. Jesús Ferreira is in rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Danny Musovski (1 goal, 0 assists) contributed one goal this season. For LA Galaxy, Marco Reus (4 goals, 4 assists) and Gabriel Pec (4 goals, 3 assists) are crucial for their offense. Gabriel Pec scored 4 goals in the last 5 matches. Joseph Paintsil (2 goals, 2 assists) is also an important part of the attack

门将

Andrew Thomas is the goalkeeper for Seattle Sounders, who recorded 5 clean sheets this season and one clean sheet at home. J. Marcinkowski is in goal for LA Galaxy, who kept 1 clean sheet this season and zero clean sheets away from home

影响因素

Seattle Sounders demonstrate strong home performance, averaging 1.50 goals scored and conceding only 0.62 goals. LA Galaxy concede an average of 2.00 goals in away matches

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