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Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC - Real Salt Lake

07/23/2026, 02:30 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Los Angeles FC
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Real Salt Lake
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
LAFRSL

Los Angeles FC

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.71
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.66
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.27
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.10
David Martínez替补席 (5球, 0助攻)
Timothy Tillman未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅95%可用)

Real Salt Lake

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.34
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.02
11%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.81
+0.81
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

29%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

71%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Visitor's defensive weakness: Real Salt Lake concedes an average of 2.75 goals away from home
  • Model prediction: The mathematical algorithm calculates a 74% probability for a home win or draw
  • Offensive potential: Both teams averaged over 5 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Reduced offensive power for Real Salt Lake with only 77% of available goal production
  • Attacking threat: Real Salt Lake averages a strong 1.86 goals scored per game
概述

Los Angeles FC (3th place, 27 points) host Real Salt Lake (4th place, 26 points) at the BMO Stadium

Major League Soccer match on July 23, 2026, 4:30 AM

A direct duel in the upper third of the table with only one point difference

近期状态

Los Angeles FC shows the form LLLWW with 2 wins and 3 losses

Real Salt Lake travels with the form WLWWD, consisting of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Los Angeles FC scores an average of 1.69 goals and concedes 1.06 goals

Real Salt Lake averages 1.86 goals scored but concedes an average of 2.75 goals away

Los Angeles FC's home record stands at 1.67 goals scored and only 0.89 conceded per game

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches

Los Angeles FC recorded 2 wins, while Real Salt Lake won once

The last encounter ended 4:1 for Los Angeles FC

关键球员

Denis Bouanga shines with 7 season goals and a rating of 7.37

Heung-min Son has already contributed 8 assists this season

Diego Luna impresses for the visitors with a rating of 7.5

门将

Hugo Lloris starts in goal for the hosts and recorded 10 clean sheets

Rafael Cabral guards the net for Real Salt Lake and recorded 2 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The match is played at the BMO Stadium on grass

The home team achieved 6 of its 10 clean sheets in their own stadium

Real Salt Lake is still waiting for their first clean sheet away from home

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