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Major League Soccer

DC United - St. Louis City

05/16/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
DC United
1.5
Total xG
2.8
St. Louis City
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
DUSLC

DC United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.99
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.53
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.28
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.28
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第14位, 相差7位)
+0.05
全员可用

St. Louis City

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.24
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第7位, 相差7位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.06
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.01
Marcel Hartel替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Daniel Ethan Edelman替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.77
+0.77
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

28%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

72%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • DC United has a home win probability of 42% according to mathematical analysis
  • DC United shows a positive offensive trend, averaging 2.4 goals in recent games compared to their season average of 1.5 goals
  • St. Louis City's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.0 goals per away game
风险因素
  • St. Louis City is missing Marcel Hartel and Daniel Ethan Edelman, resulting in only 63% of their usual goal production being available
  • DC United had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • St. Louis City had only 2 days of rest since their last match
  • St. Louis City averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

DC United (7th place, 16 points) host St. Louis City (14th place, 12 points) in Major League Soccer. The match will take place on May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM. DC United aims to improve their league position, while St. Louis City tries to move away from the bottom ranks.

近期状态

DC United's form across all competitions is DWWDL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Their last result was a loss. St. Louis City's form across all competitions is LLLWW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). They have won their last two matches.

统计数据

DC United has scored an average of 1.23 goals per game and conceded 1.54 goals per game this season. They kept 4 clean sheets. In home games, the average is 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded. St. Louis City averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.58 goals conceded per game, with only 1 clean sheet this season. Away from home, they score an average of 1.0 goal but concede a high 3.0 goals per game.

历史交锋

There has only been one direct encounter between these two teams. It ended in a 2-2 draw on March 24, 2024. The historical record is therefore even with 0 wins for DC United, 0 wins for St. Louis City, and 1 draw. Both teams scored 2 goals in that match.

关键球员

For DC United, Tai Baribo stands out with 7 goals and 0 assists this season, scoring 4 goals in his last 5 games. Louis Munteanu also showed good form, with 4 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games. Jackson Hopkins contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games. For St. Louis City, Simon Becher (0 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games) and Rafael Santos (1 goal in last 3 games) as well as Sang-bin Jeong (1 goal in last 3 games) are the key players.

门将

DC United's goalkeeper, Sean Johnson, has recorded 4 clean sheets this season. On St. Louis City's side, goalkeeper Roman Bürki has 1 clean sheet this season.

影响因素

DC United has scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 2.2 goals in home matches. St. Louis City scored an average of 1.0 goal away but conceded a high 3.0 goals per game.

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