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Major League Soccer

Atlanta United - LA Galaxy

05/09/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Atlanta United
1.2
Total xG
2.6
LA Galaxy
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
AULG

Atlanta United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-1.24
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.57
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)

LA Galaxy

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.27
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.06
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Marco Reus替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
57%进球产出缺失 (仅59%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

30%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

70%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • The pipeline analysis predicts an away win for LA Galaxy with a probability of 38%
  • LA Galaxy is currently scoring more frequently (1.6) than their season average (1.5)
  • Atlanta United has recently achieved two wins after three consecutive losses, indicating an improvement in form
风险因素
  • Marco Reus is missing for LA Galaxy, with only 60% of the usual goal threat available
  • LA Galaxy concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
概述

Atlanta United (12th place, 10 points) host LA Galaxy (10th place, 13 points) in Major League Soccer

The match takes place on May 10, 2026, 12:30 AM

Both teams are in the lower mid-table positions

The aim is to move away from the relegation spots and close the gap to the upper ranks

近期状态

Atlanta United's form in their last five matches is LLLWW

This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Atlanta's team has won their last two games, indicating an upward trend in form

LA Galaxy's form in their last five matches is WDLWD

This means 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

LA Galaxy has a more stable form curve with only one loss in their last five games

统计数据

Atlanta United averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded per game this season

In home games, the goal average is 1.11 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded

LA Galaxy has scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.6 goals per game this season

Away from home, LA Galaxy scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 2.0 goals

Atlanta recorded 1 clean sheet, while LA Galaxy also achieved 1 clean sheet

For Atlanta, over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 matches, for LA Galaxy in 8 matches

LA Galaxy has not failed to score in any game this season

Both teams scored in 6 of Atlanta United's matches

历史交锋

There has only been one head-to-head match between these two teams so far

LA Galaxy won this match away from home on August 25, 2024, with a score of 2:0

The only encounter was therefore won by the away team

关键球员

For Atlanta United, Aleksey Miranchuk, Saba Lobjanidze, and Emmanuel Latte Lath are key offensive players

Aleksey Miranchuk contributed 5 goals and 2 assists in 10 season appearances and is in stable form

Saba Lobjanidze showed rising form in the last five games with 2 goals in 4 appearances

Emmanuel Latte Lath scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists in 11 season appearances

On LA Galaxy's side, Gabriel Pec, Joseph Paintsil, and Lucas Sanabria stand out

Gabriel Pec recorded 1 goal and 3 assists in 9 season appearances

Joseph Paintsil was involved in 1 goal and 2 assists in 6 season appearances, and scored 2 goals and 2 assists in his last five games

Lucas Sanabria contributed 2 goals in 10 season appearances

门将

Lucas Hoyos is the goalkeeper for Atlanta United and achieved 1 clean sheet this season

On the opposing side, J. Marcinkowski is in goal for LA Galaxy, who also boasts 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

Atlanta United shows a home goal average of 1.11 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded

LA Galaxy scores an average of 1.4 goals away from home and concedes 2.0 goals

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