🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake - New England

09/27/2026, 01:30 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
Real Salt Lake
1.3
Total xG
3.2
New England
1.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

0:2

7%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
RSLNE

Real Salt Lake

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.25
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.25
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第2位, 相差11位)
-0.16
Juan Manuel Sanabria未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Saba Lobjanidze未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)

New England

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
+0.57
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.18
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.18
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第13位, 相差11位)
+0.10
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.07
Dor Turgeman未进大名单 (7球, 8助攻)
Peyton Miller未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻)
Alhassan Yusuf未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Jack Harrison未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
40%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

25%

客胜

49%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

51%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

75%

双方进球

是

63%

否

37%

关键因素
  • Strong form: New England currently scores more frequently with an average of 2.4 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.8
  • Tactical threat: New England averaged 7.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Mathematical backing: The pipeline model calculates a 49% probability for an away win
风险因素
  • Dor Turgeman, Peyton Miller, Alhassan Yusuf, and Jack Harrison are missing, leaving only 63% of the goal threat available
  • Real Salt Lake faces a shorter recovery window with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • New England concedes an average of 1.82 goals per away game
概述

Real Salt Lake (13th place, 29 points) hosts New England (2nd place, 46 points) at America First Field

MLS match on September 27, 2026, 3:30 AM

The roles are clearly assigned before this meeting due to the standings

近期状态

Real Salt Lake is in a deep crisis with a form of DLLLL from their recent matches

From the last 5 games, the home side failed to win a single match, suffering 4 defeats

It is a completely different story for New England with a form of WLWWW and 4 wins from 5 games

统计数据

Real Salt Lake scores an average of 1.42 goals per game but also concedes 1.69 goals

New England possesses a more dangerous attack with 1.73 goals per match while conceding only 1.27

However, on the road, the visitors show increased vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.82 goals

历史交锋

There has been only one direct duel between these two teams so far

Real Salt Lake won this match at home 2-0 on September 1, 2024

New England is therefore still waiting for their first goal in the history of this matchup

关键球员

Sergi Solans has recorded 9 goals and 3 assists for the hosts

Morgan Guilavogui contributed 2 goals and 4 assists so far this season

Noel Caliskan shines in midfield with 1 goal and 4 assists

Carles Gil drives the visitors with 12 goals and 4 assists

Luca Langoni recorded 3 goals and 6 assists for New England

Matt Polster has 1 goal and 2 assists for the away side

门将

Rafael Cabral played 25 matches for Real Salt Lake this season and kept 2 clean sheets

Matt Turner completed 26 games in goal for New England and registered 5 clean sheets

The statistical values slightly favor the visiting goalkeeper in this comparison

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at America First Field

The historical home record at this venue shows an average of 3.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches played at this stadium

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。