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Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders - Sporting KC

10/02/2026, 01:30 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Seattle Sounders
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Sporting KC
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
SSSK

Seattle Sounders

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.41
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.26
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.13
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第15位, 相差6位)
+0.05
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Dejan Joveljić未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)

Sporting KC

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.30
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.30
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
-0.07
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.2球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

27%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

73%

双方进球

是

54%

否

46%

关键因素
  • Massive away weakness: Sporting KC concedes an average of 3.36 goals per away match this season
  • Surface advantage: Sporting KC lost all 3 matches on artificial turf this season with a 1:11 goal ratio
  • Offensive trend: Seattle currently scores more frequently (2.3 goals) compared to their season average (1.4 goals)
风险因素
  • Absence in attack: Seattle must play without the injured Paul Rothrock who scored 5 goals this season
  • Home weakness on turf: Seattle has already lost 5 matches on their own artificial surface
  • Dangerous opponent form: Sporting KC currently scores 2.2 goals per match, well above their season average of 1.2 goals
概述

Seattle Sounders (9th place, 35 points) host Sporting KC (15th place, 21 points) at Lumen Field

Major League Soccer match on October 2, 2026, 3:30 AM

The mathematical model predicts 1.68 goals for Seattle and 1.03 for the visitors

近期状态

Seattle Sounders show a form of DDDWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They remain unbeaten in their last 5 games with 2 wins and 3 draws

Sporting KC enter with a form of LLWLW

The visitors recorded 2 wins and 3 losses recently

统计数据

Seattle averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded per match

Sporting KC struggles defensively with an average of 2.42 goals conceded per game

The visitors average a high 3.36 goals conceded in away games

历史交锋

Out of 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 3, Sporting KC won 1, with 1 draw

The goal difference is 12:7 in favor of Seattle

The last meeting on May 2, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

Albert Rusnák dominates the midfield with 4 goals and 11 assists, averaging a 7.24 rating

Cristian Roldán contributed 4 goals and 1 assist this season

Jordan Morris has a rating of 6.85 with 2 goals and 3 assists

门将

Andrew Thomas has played 26 matches, keeping 7 clean sheets

Stefan Cleveland recorded only 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf

Seattle has a home record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses on this surface

Sporting KC lost all 3 matches on artificial turf this season with a 1:11 goal ratio

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