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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers - Austin

08/30/2026, 02:30 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
Portland Timbers
1.9
Total xG
2.9
Austin
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
PTAUS

Portland Timbers

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.00
Kevin Kelsy替补席 (9球, 2助攻)
Brandon Bye未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Austin

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.64
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.64
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.15
Myrto Uzuni替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
Brendan Hines-Ike替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅95%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

25%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

75%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Attacking advantage against vulnerable defense: Portland's home offense (1.77 goals average) meets Austin's weak away defense which concedes an average of 3.0 goals per game
  • Strong home record on artificial turf: Portland has already recorded 6 wins and only 2 losses on this surface this season
  • Statistical advantage for the hosts: The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 59% for Portland
风险因素
  • Austin's stalling goal production: The visitors score an average of only 0.8 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 1.3
  • Portland's defensive vulnerability: The home side concedes an average of 1.76 goals per game this season
  • Missing offensive power: Portland is without key goalscorer Kevin Kelsy (9 goals, 2 assists) who is not selected
概述

Portland Timbers host Austin in Major League Soccer

Match on August 30, 2026, 4:30 AM at Providence Park

Portland is in 9th place with 28 points, while Austin sits in 14th with 21 points

The home side enters this match as the clear favorite

近期状态

Portland shows stable form with a record of WWLWD

In their last 5 matches, the home team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Austin travels with a weaker form record of LLLWD

The visitors recently registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Portland scores an average of 1.81 goals and concedes 1.76 goals per game this season

In home matches, the team averages 1.77 goals scored and 1.23 goals conceded

Austin averages 1.24 goals scored and 1.9 goals conceded per match this season

The visitors struggle especially away from home, conceding an average of 3.0 goals while scoring only 1.2

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Portland won 2, Austin won 1, and 1 ended in a draw

The goal difference stands at 3:1 in favor of the home team

The last encounter on April 5, 2025, ended in a 0:0 draw

The historical record slightly favors Portland

关键球员

Kristoffer Velde impresses with 5 goals and 6 assists, averaging a 7.19 rating

David Da Costa has contributed 3 goals and 6 assists with a 7.13 rating

Cole Bassett recorded 3 goals and 3 assists this season

Not selected: Kevin Kelsy (9 goals, 2 assists) and Brandon Bye (1 goal, 3 assists)

Not selected for the visitors: Myrto Uzuni (6 goals, 1 assist) and Brendan Hines-Ike (2 goals, 0 assists)

Facundo Torres is a key asset for Austin with 2 goals and 5 assists

Ervin Torres has registered 1 goal and 2 assists with a 6.81 rating

J. Rosales contributed 1 goal and 2 assists for the visitors

门将

James Pantemis guards Portland's goal and played 21 games this season with 1 clean sheet

On the other side, Brad Stuver features in goal for Austin, keeping 4 clean sheets in 20 appearances

影响因素

The game will be played on artificial turf at Providence Park

Portland boasts a strong record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses on artificial turf

Austin has recorded 1 win and 1 loss on this surface so far

Stadium statistics show high-scoring matches with an average of 3.6 goals per game

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