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Major League Soccer

LA Galaxy - Dallas

08/02/2026, 02:30 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
LA Galaxy
1.6
Total xG
3.1
Dallas
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
LGDAL

LA Galaxy

排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.12
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.11
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.10
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.3球)

Dallas

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.09
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.06
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.05
Logan Farrington替补席 (6球, 2助攻)
Santiago Moreno替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Herman Johansson替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

27%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

73%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Goal draught for LA Galaxy: The hosts' goal production has stalled recently, averaging 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.33
  • High offensive probability: The mathematical analysis estimates an 83% probability for over 1.5 goals and a 63% probability of both teams scoring
  • Squad changes for Dallas: Logan Farrington, Santiago Moreno, and Herman Johansson are not in the starting lineup despite their season contributions
风险因素
  • Low shooting accuracy: LA Galaxy averaged only 3.0 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Defensive focus: Dallas averaged only 38.4% possession in recent matches, relying heavily on counter-attacks
  • Weakened squad: LA Galaxy must cope without the injured M. Yamane and E. Thommy
概述

LA Galaxy (11th place, 21 points) host Dallas (4th place, 26 points) at the Dignity Health Sports Park

Major League Soccer match on August 2, 2026, 4:30 AM

The hosts aim to keep up with the playoff spots, while Dallas seek to consolidate their fourth place

近期状态

LA Galaxy form across all competitions: WDLLD

Most recently a 1-1 draw away at SJ Earthquakes

Dallas form across all competitions: LWWDL

Most recently a 0-1 defeat away at San Diego

LA Galaxy recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches

Dallas registered two wins, one draw, and two defeats

统计数据

LA Galaxy scored 24 goals this season (avg. 1.33 per game) and conceded 29 goals (avg. 1.61 per game)

The hosts kept 2 clean sheets in 18 games, while both teams scored in 15 matches

Dallas scored 32 goals this season (avg. 1.88 per game) and conceded 25 goals (avg. 1.47 per game)

The visitors kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches

历史交锋

Even historical record with two wins for each team and one draw in 5 head-to-head matches

Goal difference of 8-8 goals in these encounters

The last head-to-head match ended in a 2-2 draw on April 19, 2026

关键球员

Marco Reus contributed 4 goals and 6 assists in 18 season appearances, maintaining a 7.26 rating

Joseph Paintsil scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists in 14 games

Lucas Sanabria recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in 18 matches

Petar Musa stands out with 13 goals and 2 assists in 15 appearances with a 7.39 rating

Patrickson Delgado scored three goals in 14 games

Joaquín Valiente assisted 3 goals in 16 matches

门将

J. Marcinkowski played 13 times for LA Galaxy this season, maintaining an average rating of 7.04

Daniel made 2 appearances for Dallas this season with a rating of 6.77

LA Galaxy kept 2 clean sheets this season, while Dallas kept 3 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Dignity Health Sports Park

An average of 2.8 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches at this stadium

Both teams scored in 4 out of these 5 encounters

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