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Major League Soccer

New York RB - Orlando City

08/01/2026, 11:30 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
New York RB
1.9
Total xG
3.3
Orlando City
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

7%
xG 分解
NYROC

New York RB

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.04
Jorge Ruvalcaba未进大名单 (7球, 0助攻)
Adri Mehmeti未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅77%可用)

Orlando City

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.23
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.09
Martín Ojeda未进大名单 (11球, 0助攻)
44%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

25%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

75%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • Significant blow in attack: New York RB will be without suspended key player Jorge Ruvalcaba (7 goals)
  • Heavy loss for the visitors: Orlando City is missing top scorer Martín Ojeda (11 goals this season) due to injury
  • High goal expectation: The model predicts 1.88 home goals and 1.41 away goals, with a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals
风险因素
  • Extreme away weakness: Orlando City concedes a worrying average of 3.88 goals per away game
  • Weakened attacks: Both teams must cope without a large portion of their seasonal goal threat
概述

New York RB (9th place, 22 points) host Orlando City (10th place, 20 points) at Sports Illustrated Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 1, 2026, 11:30 PM

A tight mid-table clash is expected

近期状态

New York RB form is WDWLL

Two consecutive losses recently

Orlando City form is WDLWW with two consecutive wins

The visitors show stronger recent form

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

New York RB scores an average of 1.53 goals and concedes 2.18 goals

Orlando City averages 1.65 goals scored and 2.59 goals conceded

Extremely vulnerable away defense for Orlando City with 3.88 goals conceded per game

Both teams scored in 12 of New York RB's 17 matches

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in the database

3 wins for New York RB and 2 draws

Last match ended 2-1 for New York RB on February 22, 2026

Orlando City is still winless in head-to-head matches

关键球员

Julian Hall shines with 9 goals and 3 assists this season

Cade Cowell has contributed 2 goals and 4 assists so far

Emil Forsberg has 1 goal and 4 assists

Antoine Griezmann has 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games for the visitors

Eduard Atuesta assisted 3 goals in his last 5 matches

Justin Ellis has 1 goal and 4 assists this season

门将

Ethan Horvath in goal for New York RB has 1 clean sheet this season

Maxime Crépeau has kept 2 clean sheets for Orlando City

Both defensive lines have conceded numerous goals this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Sports Illustrated Stadium

The venue averages 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of the 5 games played at this venue

Home advantage for New York RB with 1.62 goals scored per home game on average

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