比赛报告 →
Colorado Rapids – SJ Earthquakes1 : 1
模型为何这样判断
Colorado Rapids
1.96
总 xG
3.03
SJ Earthquakes
1.06
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Colorado Rapids | SJ Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.2球) | +0.73 | +0.73 |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.8球) | −0.38 | |
| 进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.31倍) | +0.27 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球) | +0.04 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球) | −0.02 | |
| Darren Yapi替补席 (3球, 2助攻) | ||
| Hamzat Ojediran替补席 (1球, 1助攻) | ||
| Niko Tsakiris未进大名单 (3球, 7助攻) | ||
| Ousseni Bouda替补席 (6球, 1助攻) | ||
| Reid Roberts未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻) | ||
| Jamar Ricketts替补席 (0球, 2助攻) | ||
| 主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.5球) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.9球) |
关键因素
- Colorado Rapids' strong home defense (0.67 goals conceded per home game) meets SJ Earthquakes' away attack (1.85 goals scored per away game)
- Form advantage for SJ Earthquakes who are undefeated in five games with 3 wins and 2 draws
- Mathematical model projects a 57% win probability for Colorado Rapids with 1.96 expected goals
风险
- Colorado Rapids conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match over their last five games
- SJ Earthquakes averaged 5.2 shots on target per match in recent games
- SJ Earthquakes concede an average of 1.44 goals per game this season
全部概率
赛果
Colorado Rapids57%
平局24%
SJ Earthquakes19%
进球
大于 1.582%
小于 1.518%
大于 2.558%
小于 2.542%
大于 3.536%
小于 3.564%
双重机会
Colorado Rapids或平局81%
SJ Earthquakes或平局43%
非平局76%
双方均进球
是58%
否42%
最可能的比分
1:1
11%
2:1
10%
2:0
9%
3:1
7%
3:0
6%
首发阵容
Colorado Rapids 4-3-3 · SJ Earthquakes 5-3-2
Colorado Rapids
- 41 N. Defreitas Hansen
- 4 R. Cannon
- 6 R. Holding
- 5 L. Ntambue Kayumba
- 29 M. Navarro Zárate
- 12 J. Atencio
- 7 M. Whittaker
- 13 W. Frederick II
- 32 D. Phillip
- 9 S. Abu Farhi
- 10 P. Aaronson
SJ Earthquakes
- 36 E. Edwards Jr.
- 3 P. Marie
- 17 J. Jasinski
- 5 D. Munie
- 4 D. Romney
- 87 V. Costa De Brito
- 23 E. Löwen
- 14 R. Vieira Nan
- 34 B. Leroux
- 19 P. Judd
- 11 T. Werner
替补
- 8 H. Ojediran
- 11 I. Sadiq
- 2 K. Rosenberry
- 24 N. Cobb
- 77 D. Yapi
- 99 J. Travis
- 33 K. Thompson
- 93 G. Minoungou
- 31 A. Beaudry
- 2 J. Ricketts
- 6 I. Harkes
- 7 O. Bouda
- 20 N. Fernandez
- 28 B. Kikanovic
- 31 F. Montali
- 21 N. Buck
- 25 M. Floriani
- 9 L. Jovanovic
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