Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union - New York RB
07/22/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.8
1.4
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
6%0:2
6%xG 分解
Philadelphia Union
New York RB
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
29%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Form Gap: Philadelphia Union is winless in their last 5 games, while New York RB won 3 of their last 5 matches
- Tactical Offensive Edge: Philadelphia Union averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to New York RB's 3.8
- Defensive Vulnerability: Philadelphia concedes an average of 2.0 goals per home game, matching New York RB's solid away scoring average of 1.71
风险因素
- Away Defensive Weakness: New York RB concedes an average of 2.57 goals per away match
- Low-Scoring Venue: Subaru Park has seen a very low average of only 1.2 goals per game in recent matches
概述
Philadelphia Union host New York Red Bulls at Subaru Park
Major League Soccer match on July 22, 2026, 11:30 PM
The home side is in 15th place with 7 points, while the visitors sit 5th with 22 points
The mathematical model predicts a close match with a 37% chance for a home win and 35% for an away win
近期状态
Philadelphia Union's recent form is DLLDL
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
The home team has 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
New York RB enters the match with a strong LWWDW form
统计数据
Philadelphia Union scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 2.0 goals per game
At home, they average 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 goals conceded
New York RB scores an average of 1.71 goals away from home but concedes 2.57
Both sides struggle defensively, each conceding over 2.0 goals per match on average
历史交锋
Out of the last 4 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2, New York RB won 1, and 1 ended in a draw
The goal difference is 4:1 in favor of the home team
The last encounter on August 16, 2025, ended in a 1-0 win for New York RB
Philadelphia Union holds the historical upper hand in this matchup
关键球员
Milan Iloski has scored 7 goals this season for Philadelphia Union
Cavan Sullivan contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in midfield for the hosts
Bruno Damiani recorded 1 goal and 1 assist for the home team
Julian Hall leads the visitors with 9 goals and 3 assists
Jorge Ruvalcaba has been clinical for the Red Bulls with 7 goals
Cade Cowell has provided 4 assists and scored 1 goal this season
门将
Andre Blake has made 14 appearances for Philadelphia Union with 2 clean sheets
Ethan Horvath has played 15 matches for New York RB, recording 1 clean sheet
Both goalkeepers have similar season ratings of 6.70 and 6.72 respectively
影响因素
Matches at Subaru Park average just 1.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in only 40% of the last 5 games at this venue
The match will be played on natural grass
Philadelphia has struggled at home, conceding 6 goals in 3 matches despite home advantage