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Major League Soccer

Orlando City - Nashville SC

07/25/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Orlando City
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Nashville SC
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
OCNS

Orlando City

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.92
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.40
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.15
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第1位, 相差9位)
-0.13
Martín Ojeda未进大名单 (11球, 0助攻)
Adrián Marín替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Eduard Atuesta替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
44%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

Nashville SC

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.60
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.39
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.20
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.11
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第10位, 相差9位)
+0.05
Cristian Espinoza未进大名单 (3球, 6助攻)
Warren Madrigal未进大名单 (5球, 3助攻)
Ahmed Qasem替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体2.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.80
+0.80
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

30%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact for Orlando: Missing Martín Ojeda, Adrián Marín, and Eduard Atuesta, leaving only 61% of the regular starting lineup strength available
  • Defensive discrepancy: Orlando concedes an average of 2.75 goals per game, whereas league leaders Nashville concede only 0.5 goals per away game
  • Nashville in peak form: Five consecutive wins (WWWWW) highlight their strength, with predictions showing a balanced 35% chance for both home and away wins
风险因素
  • Severe fatigue risk: Both teams have only 2 days of rest since their last match
  • Nashville key absences: Despite 92% active goal share, crucial attackers like Cristian Espinoza and Warren Madrigal are out with injuries
概述

Orlando City host Nashville SC at the Inter&Co Stadium

Major League Soccer match on July 25, 2026, 11:30 PM

League leaders Nashville SC (39 points) visit 10th-placed Orlando City (17 points)

An unequal matchup between the top of the table and the lower half

近期状态

Orlando City shows mixed form with a record of LWDLW

They recently secured a 4-0 away win against SJ Earthquakes

Nashville SC enters with a perfect run of five consecutive wins (WWWWW)

The leaders recently won 1-0 against CF Montréal

统计数据

Orlando City scores 1.69 goals on average but concedes a worrying 2.75 goals per game

Nashville SC boasts a stellar defense, conceding only 0.69 goals per match on average

Away from home, Nashville is extremely stable, conceding just 0.5 goals per game

Orlando's home matches average 1.75 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded

历史交锋

The last five encounters produced three home wins and two away wins

The most recent meeting on March 21, 2026, ended in a clear 5-0 victory for Nashville SC

A total of 22 goals were scored across these five matches

关键球员

Antoine Griezmann shines for Orlando City with an average rating of 8.03

Iván Angulo has contributed one goal and four assists this season

Griffin Dorsey shows rising form with two goals in 13 matches

For Nashville, Sam Surridge stands out with ten goals in ten appearances

Hany Mukhtar is key with six goals and four assists

Bryan Acosta stabilizes the midfield with a rating of 7.04

门将

Maxime Crépeau starts in goal for Orlando with a season rating of 6.82, while the team has kept only one clean sheet

Brian Schwake defends Nashville's goal with a strong rating of 7.05, contributing to eight clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Inter&Co Stadium

This venue historically sees high-scoring games with an average of 3.75 goals

The historical BTTS rate at this stadium stands at 75%

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