Major League Soccer
Inter Miami - Portland Timbers
05/17/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
2.1
3.3
1.2
1:1
10%2:1
10%2:0
8%3:1
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
57%
平局
23%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
43%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Inter Miami's offensive strength, demonstrated by an average of 2.67 home goals and 3.0 goals in their last 5 matches
- Portland's defensive vulnerability away, with an average of 3.0 goals conceded per away game
- The general expectation of a high-scoring game, based on the pipeline analysis with a 64% probability for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score
风险因素
- The high number of goals conceded by Inter Miami at home (an average of 3.0 per game)
- The defensive weakness of Portland Timbers in away games, also conceding an average of 3.0 goals
概述
Inter Miami (2nd place, 25 points) host Portland Timbers (12th place, 14 points) in Major League Soccer
Major League Soccer match on May 17, 2026, 11:00 PM
Inter Miami is in the upper half of the table, while Portland Timbers are in the lower midfield
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 57% probability
近期状态
Inter Miami's form is WDLWW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) across all competitions
The team has won its last two matches
Inter Miami's last 5 results are 5-3 against Cincinnati, 4-2 against Toronto, 3-4 against Orlando City, 1-1 against New England, and 2-0 against Real Salt Lake
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Portland Timbers' form is LWLWD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) across all competitions
The last match ended in a draw
Portland Timbers' last 5 results are 2-2 against CF Montréal, 6-0 against Sporting KC, 0-2 against Real Salt Lake, 2-1 against San Diego, and 0-2 against Minnesota United
统计数据
Inter Miami scores an average of 2.38 goals per game and concedes 1.85 goals
At home, Inter Miami scores an average of 2.67 goals and concedes 3.0 goals
Both teams scored in 10 of Inter Miami's matches, and 10 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Portland Timbers scores an average of 1.75 goals per game and concedes 1.92 goals
Away, Portland Timbers scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 3.0 goals
Both teams scored in 8 of Portland Timbers' matches, and 8 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Both teams' away defense appears vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.0 goals
历史交锋
No previous head-to-head meetings found between Inter Miami and Portland Timbers
关键球员
Inter Miami's key players include Lionel Messi, Rodrigo De Paul, and Luis Suárez
Lionel Messi (Attacker) scored 12 season goals and 5 assists with an average rating of 8.33, and his form is rising
Rodrigo De Paul (Midfielder) scored 3 season goals and 4 assists with an average rating of 7.72, and his form is rising
Luis Suárez (Attacker) scored 3 season goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.05, and his form is rising
For Portland Timbers, key players are Cole Bassett, Kevin Kelsy, and Kristoffer Velde
Cole Bassett (Midfielder) scored 2 season goals and 2 assists with an average rating of 7.38, and his form is stable
Kevin Kelsy (Attacker) scored 5 season goals and 2 assists with an average rating of 7.01, and his form is rising
Kristoffer Velde (Attacker) scored 4 season goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.04, and his form is stable
门将
Inter Miami's goalkeeper is Dayne St. Clair
Dayne St. Clair has achieved 0 clean sheets at home
His season average rating is 6.68, while his last 5 games show an average rating of 6.97, indicating rising form
Portland Timbers' goalkeeper is James Pantemis
James Pantemis has achieved 0 clean sheets away
His season average rating is 7.21, while his last 5 games show an average rating of 7.30, indicating stable form
Both teams have not achieved any clean sheets in their respective home/away games
影响因素
Inter Miami scores an average of 2.67 goals at home but also concedes 3.0 goals
Portland Timbers scores an average of 1.6 goals away but also concedes 3.0 goals
These values suggest an offensively oriented match with defensive weaknesses on both sides