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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo

05/14/2026, 01:30 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
Real Salt Lake
1.6
Total xG
2.7
Houston Dynamo
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
RSLHD

Real Salt Lake

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.37
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.33
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.07
Sergi Solans替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Diego Luna替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Noel Caliskan替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
55%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

Houston Dynamo

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.44
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.04
Guilherme替补席 (6球, 4助攻)
Lawrence Ennali替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Mateusz Bogusz替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
61%进球产出缺失 (仅38%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

28%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

72%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Houston Dynamo has only 39% of their usual starting XI's goal threat available, as Guilherme (6G/4A), Lawrence Ennali (3G/2A) and Mateusz Bogusz (2G/1A) are not listed
  • Real Salt Lake is the dominant home team in head-to-head encounters, and the mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 46% probability
  • Real Salt Lake's strong home offense (Avg. 1.86 goals) meets a weak away defense from Houston Dynamo (Avg. 2.17 goals conceded)
风险因素
  • Real Salt Lake has to do without some of their offensive power: only 61% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is active, including the absence of Sergi Solans (5G/2A), Diego Luna (4G/1A), and Noel Caliskan (0G/2A)
  • Houston Dynamo has a short recovery period with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.17 goals per away game
概述

Real Salt Lake (7th place, 19 points) host Houston Dynamo (8th place, 18 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 14, 2026, 3:30 AM. Both teams are in the mid-table and are fighting to connect with the playoff spots

近期状态

Real Salt Lake shows mixed form with WLLWL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses) in their last five matches

The home team lost their last game away against Dallas with a score of 1:3

Houston Dynamo presents themselves in better condition with WWLWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss)

Houston Dynamo won their last two games, most recently away with a 4:1 against Los Angeles FC

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Real Salt Lake averages 1.82 goals scored per game and concedes 1.55 goals per game this season

At home, Real Salt Lake is offensively strong with an average of 1.86 goals and defensively stable with 1.00 goals conceded

Houston Dynamo averages 1.55 goals scored per game and concedes 1.73 goals per game

Away from home, Houston Dynamo scores 1.67 goals per game but concedes an average of 2.17 goals per game

In 8 of 11 Real Salt Lake matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored, and both teams scored in 8 matches

In 5 of 11 Houston Dynamo matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored, and both teams scored in 5 matches

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Real Salt Lake recorded 3 wins and Houston Dynamo 1 win

The goal difference in these matches is balanced at 7:7

Real Salt Lake dominated recent home encounters

Real Salt Lake won the last encounter on July 13, 2025, with a score of 1:0

关键球员

For Real Salt Lake, Morgan Guilavogui is an important attacking player with 1 goal and 3 assists and an average rating of 7.43

Zavier Gozo scored 3 goals and 3 assists this season with an average rating of 7.23

Juan Manuel Sanabria contributed 3 assists and has an average rating of 7.02

For Houston Dynamo, Jack McGlynn stands out with 2 goals and 2 assists and an average rating of 7.50

Héctor Herrera scored 1 goal with an average rating of 6.77

Ibrahim Aliyu scored 1 goal with an average rating of 6.72

门将

For Real Salt Lake, Rafael Cabral is in goal, with 1 clean sheet in 11 seasonal appearances and an average rating of 6.88

Jonathan Bond guards the goal for Houston Dynamo, making 11 appearances and achieving 3 clean sheets with an average rating of 6.87

影响因素

Real Salt Lake shows a strong home performance with an average of 1.86 home goals scored and only 1.00 goals conceded per home game

Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.17 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities

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