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Major League Soccer

Orlando City - Charlotte

04/22/2026, 11:30 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
Orlando City
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Charlotte
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
OCCHA

Orlando City

防守不足 (场均失3.1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+1.18
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.32
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第3位, 相差12位)
-0.20
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.05
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.04
Marco Pašalić替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
54%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体0.8球)

Charlotte

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.46倍)
-0.39
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.34
状态上升 (2.8 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
+0.18
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第15位, 相差12位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.02
Kerwin Vargas替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

29%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

71%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: A home win for Orlando City is calculated at 41%
  • Form trend: Charlotte is currently scoring more frequently (2.8) than their season average (2.1)
  • Offensive comparison: Charlotte averaged 5.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, while Orlando City only managed 3.4
风险因素
  • Orlando City: Only 66% of usual starting XI goal threat available (Marco Pašalić missing)
  • Charlotte concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
  • Orlando City with only 4 days rest since last match
  • Charlotte with only 4 days rest since last match
  • Orlando City scores only an average of 0.71 home goals per game
概述

Orlando City hosts Charlotte in a Major League Soccer match on April 22, 2026, 1:30 AM (CEST)

Orlando City is currently in 15th place with 4 points, while Charlotte sits in 3rd place with 14 points

For Orlando City, the goal is to break their current losing streak and gather crucial points in the relegation battle

近期状态

Orlando City's form across all competitions is WLLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last result was a loss

Charlotte, on the other hand, shows better form with DWWLW

The away team achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games

Charlotte's last match ended in a win

统计数据

Orlando City averages 0.75 goals scored and 3.13 goals conceded per game this season

At home, they average 0.71 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded per home game

Charlotte is stronger offensively with an average of 1.88 goals per game and concedes 1.25 goals

Away from home, Charlotte scores 1.5 goals and concedes 2.5 goals per away game

Orlando City has scored in 4 games and failed to score in 4 games

Charlotte has scored in 6 games and failed to score in 2 games

For Orlando City, there were over 2.5 goals in 6 games, and for Charlotte, also in 6 games

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2, Charlotte won 0, and there were 3 draws

Orlando City scored a total of 8 goals, while Charlotte scored 4 goals

The last encounter was on July 5, 2025, ending in a 2:2 draw

Historically, Orlando City has been more dominant in these fixtures

关键球员

For Orlando City, Martín Ojeda (2 goals, 0 assists, avg. 7.04 rating), Iván Angulo (0 goals, 2 assists, avg. 6.70 rating), and Zakaria Taifi (0 goals, 1 assist, avg. 6.56 rating) are key players

Martín Ojeda shows stable form with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Iván Angulo contributed 1 assist in the last 5 games and is in stable form

Zakaria Taifi is also in stable form

For Charlotte, Pep Biel (4 goals, 3 assists, avg. 7.27 rating), Wilfried Zaha (2 goals, 2 assists, avg. 7.31 rating), and Idan Toklomati (3 goals, 1 assist, avg. 6.79 rating) are the key figures

Pep Biel shows slightly declining form but has scored 1 goal and 3 assists in the last 5 games

Wilfried Zaha is in rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Idan Toklomati is in stable form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

门将

Orlando City's goalkeeper, Maxime Crépeau, has not recorded a single clean sheet this season

His counterpart for Charlotte, Kristijan Kahlina, has achieved 1 clean sheet this season

Kristijan Kahlina shows a slightly declining form with an average rating of 7.31 in the last 5 games

影响因素

Orlando City averages 0.71 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded at home

Charlotte averages 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 goals conceded away from home

There is no data available for venue history or weather influences

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